Sat, Mar 22, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Florida Panthers 3, Washington Capitals 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 52% of the time.
43%
9%
8%
40%
WSH winsFLA wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Boqvist–Luostarinen–Lundell | Greer–Gadjovich–Sturm | Verhaeghe–Barkov–Reinhart | Bennett–Rodrigues–Samoskevich | Verhaeghe–Bennett–Rodrigues | Barkov–Reinhart–Samoskevich | Jones–Forsling | Mikkola–Balinskis | Schmidt–Bjornfot | Schmidt–Balinskis | Mikkola–Bjornfot | Jones–Mikkola | Forsling–Mikkola | Forsling–Bjornfot | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ovechkin–Strome–Protas | 0:470.00–0.00 | 3:300.21–0.16 | 3:010.21–0.60 | 2:420.08–0.16 | 1:200.08–0.00 | 2:450.08–0.00 | 2:570.17–0.16 | 2:000.15–0.26 | 1:350.02–0.50 | |||||
| Wilson–Dubois–McMichael | 0:420.00–0.00 | 4:230.11–0.06 | 3:360.11–0.09 | 4:420.13–0.14 | 0:520.00–0.01 | 1:000.08–0.00 | 1:010.01–0.00 | 1:230.15–0.06 | ||||||
| Dowd–Beauvillier–Duhaime | 4:180.55–0.15 | 1:240.12–0.09 | 0:530.01–0.00 | 2:010.06–0.09 | 0:530.05–0.05 | 1:210.08–0.00 | 1:230.02–0.10 | 0:520.24–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||
| Eller–Mangiapane–Raddysh | 1:300.00–0.01 | 3:110.11–0.02 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:390.14–0.05 | 1:190.00–0.04 | 4:110.18–0.06 | 1:450.00–0.06 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:490.07–0.00 | |||||
| Ovechkin–Dubois–McMichael | 0:300.03–0.10 | 0:370.00–0.01 | 0:370.03–0.10 | 1:000.19–0.09 | ||||||||||
| Wilson–Strome–Protas | 0:550.03–0.01 | 0:490.03–0.01 | ||||||||||||
| Carlson–Sandin | 2:200.59–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.01 | 2:560.00–0.10 | 1:150.13–0.10 | 3:370.01–0.20 | 1:070.00–0.08 | 4:120.03–0.08 | 2:380.01–0.04 | 1:300.00–0.18 | 1:090.11–0.12 | 2:390.36–0.08 | 0:500.00–0.01 | ||
| van Riemsdyk–Chychrun | 2:350.00–0.12 | 5:160.36–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.01 | 0:350.08–0.00 | 1:240.11–0.00 | 4:060.07–0.16 | 1:300.08–0.00 | 4:110.29–0.09 | 1:320.04–0.02 | |||||
| Roy–Fehérváry | 2:440.06–0.13 | 1:200.00–0.02 | 1:180.10–0.00 | 3:000.30–0.55 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.01 | 3:540.33–0.05 | 2:470.04–0.08 | 0:560.08–0.00 | 0:520.02–0.08 | 0:550.00–0.50 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||
| Roy–Sandin | 1:280.05–0.09 | 0:460.05–0.09 | 0:530.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | 1:270.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Sandin | 0:400.01–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:420.01–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Roy–Chychrun | 0:420.02–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Carlson–Fehérváry | 0:320.00–0.16 | 0:310.00–0.16 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Seth JonesFLA | 30 | 24:45 | 0:50 | 2:03 | 10 | 1 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 24 | 23:03 | 0:58 | 1:52 | 3 | 6 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 24 | 20:55 | 0:52 | 1:27 | 2 | 4 |
 Gustav ForslingFLA | 30 | 20:30 | 0:41 | 1:24 | 8 | 2 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 21 | 20:04 | 0:57 | 2:52 | 2 | 0 |
 Sam BennettFLA | 22 | 19:13 | 0:52 | 1:38 | 4 | 2 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 21 | 19:10 | 0:55 | 1:43 | 1 | 3 |
 Aleksander BarkovFLA | 20 | 18:47 | 0:56 | 2:10 | 3 | 3 |
 Nate SchmidtFLA | 26 | 18:35 | 0:43 | 1:35 | 3 | 3 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 24 | 18:32 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 0 | 6 |
 Niko MikkolaFLA | 29 | 18:30 | 0:38 | 1:19 | 4 | 2 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 21 | 18:05 | 0:52 | 2:25 | 2 | 2 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 23 | 18:05 | 0:47 | 1:14 | 0 | 7 |
 Sam ReinhartFLA | 20 | 18:03 | 0:54 | 2:29 | 3 | 3 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 19 | 17:57 | 0:57 | 1:40 | 4 | 0 |
 Carter VerhaegheFLA | 22 | 17:21 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 4 | 2 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 23 | 17:19 | 0:45 | 2:19 | 2 | 6 |
 Mackie SamoskevichFLA | 19 | 16:38 | 0:53 | 2:37 | 4 | 2 |
 Uvis BalinskisFLA | 23 | 16:37 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 5 | 2 |
 Evan RodriguesFLA | 22 | 16:26 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 3 | 2 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 18 | 16:25 | 0:55 | 1:43 | 1 | 1 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 19 | 15:48 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 3 | 2 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 21 | 15:39 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 3 | 3 |
 Tobias BjornfotFLA | 21 | 15:23 | 0:44 | 1:34 | 1 | 2 |
 Anton LundellFLA | 19 | 14:01 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 6 | 1 |
 Eetu LuostarinenFLA | 21 | 13:47 | 0:39 | 0:59 | 6 | 3 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 21 | 13:28 | 0:38 | 1:16 | 1 | 10 |
 Nico SturmFLA | 21 | 12:31 | 0:36 | 1:43 | 2 | 3 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 18 | 12:29 | 0:42 | 1:30 | 1 | 8 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 19 | 12:16 | 0:39 | 0:53 | 0 | 6 |
 Jesper BoqvistFLA | 21 | 12:14 | 0:35 | 1:07 | 6 | 1 |
 Andrew MangiapaneWSH | 17 | 11:52 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 18 | 11:45 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 2 | 6 |
 A.J. GreerFLA | 16 | 11:42 | 0:44 | 1:34 | 2 | 1 |
 Taylor RaddyshWSH | 17 | 11:37 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Jonah GadjovichFLA | 16 | 10:57 | 0:41 | 1:37 | 2 | 1 |