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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 23, 2025·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg

Buffalo Sabres 5, Winnipeg Jets 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 84% of the time.

WPG winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tuch–Thompson–BensonMcLeod–Quinn–PeterkaMalenstyn–Murray–KozakZucker–Krebs–KozakZucker–Greenway–KrebsZucker–Krebs–PeterkaZucker–Malenstyn–KozakThompson–Quinn–PeterkaTuch–McLeod–BensonClifton–ByramSamuelsson–DahlinBernard-Docker–PowerClifton–DahlinClifton–SamuelssonDahlin–Bernard-DockerSamuelsson–Bernard-Docker
Scheifele–Connor–Vilardi1:550.00–0.012:110.05–0.001:010.07–0.001:350.00–0.030:590.03–0.001:590.03–0.003:170.05–0.030:520.00–0.011:040.07–0.00
Namestnikov–Ehlers–Perfetti1:380.00–0.002:130.09–0.141:080.00–0.020:400.00–0.001:300.23–0.003:250.00–0.002:120.14–0.081:520.13–0.020:400.05–0.06
Niederreiter–Lowry–Appleton3:380.20–0.072:170.00–0.051:070.13–0.000:500.05–0.001:530.21–0.003:370.19–0.052:460.16–0.00
Tanev–Iafallo–Barron2:070.13–0.070:480.00–0.010:310.00–0.010:310.00–0.023:020.13–0.030:310.00–0.011:120.00–0.07
Niederreiter–Namestnikov–Perfetti0:360.00–0.050:300.20–0.001:160.28–0.05
Lowry–Appleton–Tanev0:500.16–0.000:570.16–0.00
Scheifele–Ehlers–Connor0:490.00–0.011:040.02–0.01
Scheifele–Connor–Iafallo0:570.17–0.00
DeMelo–Morrissey2:030.00–0.016:510.25–0.260:370.00–0.000:500.05–0.003:560.13–0.014:230.10–0.141:450.02–0.071:210.05–0.07
Miller–Stanley1:330.00–0.052:420.14–0.021:430.00–0.031:030.14–0.003:410.03–0.014:050.27–0.080:380.00–0.02
Schenn–Samberg4:520.20–0.080:500.00–0.000:490.00–0.001:060.09–0.000:400.00–0.013:190.19–0.021:230.00–0.003:510.10–0.01
DeMelo–Samberg0:580.20–0.001:350.35–0.000:470.02–0.00
Miller–Morrissey1:200.00–0.000:340.24–0.000:480.00–0.000:510.17–0.00
DeMelo–Stanley0:460.00–0.000:310.20–0.000:310.20–0.00
Miller–Samberg0:450.00–0.000:310.03–0.001:000.03–0.00
Schenn–Stanley0:410.00–0.000:420.12–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndNamestnikov FEhlers FPerfetti FVilardi FScheifele FConnor FAppleton FLowry FNiederreiter FBarron FTanev FIafallo FMiller DStanley DSamberg DSchenn DMorrissey DDeMelo DComrie GMalenstyn FKozak FMurray FThompson FTuch FBenson FQuinn FMcLeod FPeterka FGreenway FZucker FKrebs FByram DClifton DSamuelsson DDahlin DBernard-Docker DPower DReimer G
WPGBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Josh MorrisseyWPG2825:240:542:1094
Rasmus DahlinBUF2823:530:511:4448
Ryan McLeodBUF2921:330:451:42510
Bowen ByramBUF2921:190:441:1937
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2521:130:511:5216
Mark ScheifeleWPG2021:121:042:1083
Alex TuchBUF2621:090:491:4555
Connor CliftonBUF2621:000:481:4436
Kyle ConnorWPG2220:230:562:1094
Dylan DeMeloWPG3120:190:391:0785
Dylan SambergWPG2820:160:431:2325
Nikolaj EhlersWPG1918:581:002:1080
JJ PeterkaBUF2418:230:461:4095
Tage ThompsonBUF2418:120:461:2341
Zach BensonBUF2717:390:391:1352
Colin MillerWPG2017:220:521:5520
Jack QuinnBUF2316:450:441:0464
Gabriel VilardiWPG1716:020:571:4273
Owen PowerBUF2115:590:461:1340
Vladislav NamestnikovWPG2115:580:461:1540
Luke SchennWPG2315:430:411:1917
Adam LowryWPG2115:310:441:5036
Jason ZuckerBUF1815:090:511:4332
Mason AppletonWPG2014:570:451:2233
Nino NiederreiterWPG1914:490:472:0832
Cole PerfettiWPG1914:360:461:2750
Logan StanleyWPG1814:290:481:5821
Peyton KrebsBUF1713:120:471:1913
Tyson KozakBUF1713:120:471:1511
Jacob Bernard-DockerBUF1912:490:401:2963
Alex IafalloWPG1911:480:370:5925
Beck MalenstynBUF1711:390:411:1912
Brandon TanevWPG1510:010:401:2122
Morgan BarronWPG117:530:431:1012
Brett MurrayBUF86:290:491:2100
Jordan GreenwayBUF64:440:470:5301