Sun, Mar 23, 2025·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Florida Panthers 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 72% of the time.
64%
8%
20%
FLA winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 26:40 | 0.11 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 26:19 | 0.14 | 33.7% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:32 | 0.00 | 33.9% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:50 | 0.09 | 31.6% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20:46 | 0.15 | 31.7% | +31.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:04 | 0.23 | 50.7% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:55 | 0.01 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19:23 | 0.41 | 31.8% | +47.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:35 | 0.44 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:05 | 0.00 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.02 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.18 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.05 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.02 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:02 | 0.02 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:49 | 0.09 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:41 | 0.11 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:04 | 0.03 | 42.5% | 0.0 |
| O | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.49 | +0.5 | 65:00 |
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 30:40 | 0.11 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 29:11 | 0.59 | 67.6% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:08 | 0.09 | 69.5% | +14.7 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21:35 | 0.88 | 75.8% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:07 | 0.23 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:57 | 0.03 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18:50 | 0.61 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:02 | 0.08 | 78.0% | +39.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:12 | 0.11 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:06 | 0.05 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:00 | 0.42 | 53.1% | +39.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.08 | 41.9% | +39.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.02 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:47 | 0.00 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:34 | 0.00 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.11 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:09 | 0.00 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:57 | 0.07 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.10 | −0.9 | 64:49 |