Tue, Mar 25, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Philadelphia Flyers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 50% of the time.
38%
12%
10%
39%
TOR winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −4 | 1 | 26:17 | 0.05 | 44.7% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 25:59 | 0.16 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 21:12 | 0.00 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:41 | 0.06 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:20 | 0.00 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:56 | 0.43 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:44 | 0.03 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 17:02 | 0.01 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.28 | 51.9% | +0.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 0.27 | 65.8% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:04 | 0.06 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.11 | 65.9% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.02 | 47.6% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:10 | 0.00 | 65.8% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.02 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:07 | 0.27 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:25 | 0.10 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:50 | 0.00 | 38.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 23 | 7 | .767 | 1.83 | −5.2 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 21:13 | 0.02 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 21:08 | 0.04 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:50 | 0.01 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.02 | 23.3% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:40 | 0.03 | 78.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:06 | 0.00 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:15 | 0.03 | 31.1% | +20.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.02 | 34.0% | +7.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:37 | 0.18 | 21.1% | +13.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 4 | 15:27 | 0.51 | 64.5% | +39.3 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 4 | 15:23 | 0.20 | 59.9% | +45.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:08 | 0.25 | 59.3% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:51 | 0.00 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 14:06 | 0.21 | 64.0% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:51 | 0.02 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:27 | 0.21 | 67.5% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:52 | 0.08 | 57.0% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:38 | 0.00 | 58.4% | +0.9 |
| W | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 1.88 | −0.1 | 60:00 |