Tue, Mar 25, 2025·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Washington Capitals 2, Winnipeg Jets 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 53% of the time.
43%
10%
9%
37%
WPG winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 22:15 | 0.05 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:22 | 0.23 | 35.0% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:39 | 0.01 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:32 | 0.11 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:30 | 0.15 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:41 | 0.16 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:55 | 0.21 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.21 | 57.0% | +35.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:42 | 0.25 | 23.6% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.00 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.15 | 69.7% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:01 | 0.10 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.00 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.16 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.02 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:53 | 0.14 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:59 | 0.08 | 73.1% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:21 | 0.19 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.34 | −0.7 | 61:28 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25:03 | 0.16 | 53.7% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:34 | 0.06 | 54.4% | +46.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:22 | 0.04 | 67.3% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22:20 | 0.05 | 25.2% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 0.14 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.01 | 8.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:55 | 0.77 | 73.3% | +46.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:53 | 0.32 | 44.7% | +46.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:28 | 0.14 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:47 | 0.07 | 55.8% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 15:14 | 0.14 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:00 | 0.00 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.24 | 49.8% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.07 | 41.5% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:24 | 0.01 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:42 | 0.00 | 80.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:15 | 0.00 | 77.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:44 | 0.10 | 42.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.21 | +0.2 | 61:10 |