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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 27, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Ottawa Senators 4, Detroit Red Wings 3

Away

Ottawa Senators

4

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 62% of the time.

DET winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:26Shot by Johansson, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 3:37Zetterlund: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Tarasenko, Larkin, Raymond, Edvinsson · OTT Perron, Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund, Stützle

  4. P1 5:49Goal by Chabot (Zetterlund)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Tarasenko, Larkin, Seider, Raymond · OTT Jensen, Amadio, Chabot, Zetterlund, Stützle

  5. P1 7:37Tkachuk: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Smith, Holl, Tarasenko, Larkin, Johansson · OTT Amadio, Tkachuk, Kleven, Stützle, Zub

  6. P1 7:52Shot by Kane, saved by Ullmark5v4
  7. P1 8:40Shot by Kane, saved by Ullmark5v4
  8. P1 8:49Shot by Kane, saved by Ullmark5v4
  9. P1 8:50Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark5v4
  10. P1 9:15Shot by Kasper, saved by Ullmark5v4
  11. P1 9:20Greig: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Kane, Compher, Rasmussen, Edvinsson, Kasper · OTT Jensen, Chabot, Pinto, Greig

  12. P1 10:43Shot by Kasper, saved by Ullmark5v4
  13. P1 10:49Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Ullmark5v4
  14. P1 11:07Shot by Kasper, saved by Ullmark5v4
  15. P1 11:29Shot by Kasper, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 11:42Shot by Motte, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 11:52Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark
  18. P1 12:03Shot by Holl, saved by Ullmark
  19. P1 12:46Shot by Stützle, saved by Lyon
  20. P1 13:01Goal by Stützle, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Rasmussen, Seider, Raymond · OTT Zetterlund, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  21. P1 13:55Shot by Watson, saved by Ullmark
  22. P1 16:02Shot by Perron, saved by Lyon
  23. P1 16:07Perron: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Holl, DeBrincat, Johansson, Kasper · OTT Perron, Jensen, Chabot, Batherson, Cozens

  24. P1 16:20Shot by Highmore, saved by Lyon5v4
  25. P1 16:45Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark5v4
  26. P1 17:23Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark5v4
  27. P1 17:52Shot by Greig, saved by Lyon5v4
  28. P1 18:22Shot by Jensen, saved by Lyon
  29. P1 18:23Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Lyon
  30. P1 18:47Edvinsson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Motte, Compher, Rasmussen, Edvinsson · OTT Zetterlund, Tkachuk, Kleven, Stützle, Matinpalo

  31. P1 18:47Tkachuk: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Motte, Compher, Rasmussen, Edvinsson · OTT Zetterlund, Tkachuk, Kleven, Stützle, Matinpalo

  32. P1 19:20Kleven: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Motte, Shine, Johansson · OTT Perron, Amadio, Gaudette, Kleven, Matinpalo

  33. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:20Shot by Sanderson, saved by Lyon5v4
  36. P2 1:06Shot by Seider, saved by Ullmark5v4
  37. P2 1:33Goal by Perron (Batherson)+9 pts WP

    On ice: DET Smith, Chiarot, Compher, Rasmussen, Seider · OTT Perron, Batherson, Cozens, Sanderson, Zub

  38. P2 2:05Shot by Cozens, saved by Talbot
  39. P2 2:07Smith: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Smith, Chiarot, Compher, Rasmussen · OTT Perron, Batherson, Cozens, Kleven, Matinpalo

  40. P2 3:32Shot by Batherson, saved by Talbot4v5
  41. P2 3:54Shot by Cozens, saved by Talbot4v5
  42. P2 6:05DeBrincat: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Compher, DeBrincat, Seider, Johansson · OTT Giroux, Perron, Zetterlund, Sanderson, Stützle

  43. P2 6:55Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Talbot4v5
  44. P2 9:33Shot by Batherson, saved by Talbot
  45. P2 9:55Shot by Seider, saved by Ullmark
  46. P2 10:01Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Ullmark
  47. P2 10:04Shot by Smith, saved by Ullmark
  48. P2 12:02Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark
  49. P2 12:13Shot by Petry, saved by Ullmark
  50. P2 13:04Shot by Giroux, saved by Talbot
  51. P2 14:03Shot by Amadio, saved by Talbot
  52. P2 14:04Shot by Amadio, saved by Talbot
  53. P2 14:26Shot by Motte, saved by Ullmark
  54. P2 14:33Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark
  55. P2 15:03Shot by Cozens, saved by Talbot
  56. P2 15:04Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Talbot
  57. P2 15:07Shot by Cozens, saved by Talbot
  58. P2 16:38Shot by Johansson, saved by Ullmark
  59. P2 17:43Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Talbot
  60. P2 18:28Shot by Cozens, saved by Talbot
  61. P2 19:36Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Talbot
  62. P2 19:54Shot by Pinto, saved by Talbot
  63. P2 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 1:16Shot by Greig, saved by Talbot
  66. P3 2:15Shot by Raymond, saved by Ullmark
  67. P3 2:16Shot by Motte, saved by Ullmark
  68. P3 3:41Shot by Kleven, saved by Talbot
  69. P3 4:39Pinto: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kane, Chiarot, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond · OTT Zetterlund, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub

  70. P3 5:25Goal by Kane (DeBrincat, Raymond)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · OTT Giroux, Highmore, Sanderson, Zub

  71. P3 7:14Shot by Kane, saved by Ullmark
  72. P3 8:44Goal by Amadio (Highmore)+5 pts WP

    On ice: DET Smith, Holl, Motte, Shine, Johansson · OTT Jensen, Amadio, Highmore, Gaudette, Kleven

  73. P3 9:27Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Ullmark
  74. P3 10:35Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Ullmark
  75. P3 11:36Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Talbot
  76. P3 11:50Goal by Raymond (Kasper)+3 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Shine, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Zetterlund, Stützle

  77. P3 12:15Shot by Greig, saved by Talbot
  78. P3 15:30Goal by Tarasenko (Compher, Smith)+11 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Smith, Tarasenko, Compher, Johansson · OTT Giroux, Zetterlund, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub

  79. P3 18:18Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Talbot
  80. P3 18:23Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Talbot
  81. P3 19:12Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark6v5
  82. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  83. P3 0:00Final6v5