Thu, Mar 27, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Ottawa Senators 4, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 62% of the time.
30%
9%
54%
DET winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 25:57 | 0.00 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:14 | 0.01 | 87.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:11 | 0.13 | 55.9% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:27 | 0.07 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:42 | 0.30 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:39 | 0.61 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 16:21 | 0.49 | 82.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 16:00 | 0.62 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.27 | 58.3% | +9.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.29 | 56.4% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.28 | 90.0% | +9.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.09 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:02 | 0.08 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:58 | 0.26 | 56.8% | +14.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 10:43 | 0.53 | 67.4% | +4.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:36 | 0.02 | 69.2% | +4.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:50 | 0.00 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:44 | 0.00 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 3.28 | +0.3 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 27:26 | 0.06 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 27:12 | 0.47 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26:02 | 0.58 | 38.3% | +5.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25:22 | 0.52 | 39.3% | +5.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 21:10 | 0.14 | 35.5% | +8.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:21 | 0.18 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:50 | 0.04 | 16.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.03 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:37 | 0.00 | 32.4% | +10.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.17 | 20.6% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:05 | 0.40 | 48.9% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:21 | 0.03 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:35 | 0.15 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:34 | 0.01 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.26 | 50.2% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 10:45 | 0.24 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:16 | 0.00 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:34 | 0.00 | 3.8% | 0.0 |
| – | 10 | 7 | 3 | .700 | 1.02 | −2.0 | 21:33 | |
| L | 22 | 21 | 1 | .955 | 2.52 | +1.5 | 37:01 |