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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 27, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Ottawa Senators 4, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 62% of the time.

DET winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Perron–Batherson–CozensTkachuk–Pinto–GreigAmadio–Highmore–GaudetteGiroux–Zetterlund–StützleAmadio–Tkachuk–StützlePerron–Cozens–GreigZetterlund–Tkachuk–StützleGiroux–Amadio–StützleJensen–ChabotSanderson–ZubKleven–MatinpaloKleven–ZubJensen–Kleven
Kane–Larkin–DeBrincat3:550.00–0.140:430.12–0.081:220.00–0.014:190.01–0.470:480.12–0.00
Tarasenko–Larkin–Raymond0:490.00–0.131:460.00–0.090:380.00–0.003:560.00–0.252:150.00–0.23
Kane–DeBrincat–Kasper2:370.08–0.260:360.05–0.102:490.34–0.052:130.07–0.17
Smith–Compher–Rasmussen1:450.00–0.301:210.09–0.040:420.00–0.001:010.00–0.003:090.09–0.07
Watson–Motte–Shine2:040.01–0.371:070.01–0.371:110.00–0.00
Smith–Tarasenko–Compher1:270.01–0.000:350.01–0.001:120.13–0.000:350.00–0.00
Smith–Motte–Shine1:070.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:340.00–0.17
Tarasenko–Compher–Raymond0:330.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Motte–Shine–Raymond1:070.22–0.001:070.22–0.00
Kane–Motte–Shine0:340.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Petry–Edvinsson3:560.09–0.240:580.00–0.000:450.00–0.001:390.12–0.080:320.00–0.000:320.09–0.000:340.00–0.201:000.00–0.004:090.18–0.003:060.00–0.003:320.24–0.081:060.12–0.000:320.00–0.20
Chiarot–Seider1:420.00–0.234:340.10–0.281:060.00–0.002:000.10–0.094:160.10–0.215:550.07–1.090:470.05–0.000:350.00–0.01
Holl–Johansson1:510.00–0.050:440.02–0.102:370.24–0.530:370.00–0.005:290.51–0.511:320.00–0.100:320.02–0.000:380.01–0.17
Seider–Edvinsson1:180.07–0.040:400.00–0.040:460.07–0.00
Petry–Chiarot0:340.00–0.070:340.00–0.000:340.00–0.07
Seider–Johansson0:340.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Chiarot–Edvinsson0:410.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKane FKasper FDeBrincat FCompher FTarasenko FRaymond FLarkin FSmith FRasmussen FShine FWatson FMotte FPetry DEdvinsson DChiarot DSeider DJohansson DHoll DLyon GTalbot GBatherson FCozens FPerron FGreig FStützle FZetterlund FGiroux FTkachuk FPinto FGaudette FHighmore FAmadio FZub DSanderson DJensen DChabot DKleven DMatinpalo DUllmark G
DETOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Moritz SeiderDET2827:260:592:0074
Dylan LarkinDET2627:121:032:4353
Patrick KaneDET2526:021:022:5461
Artem ZubOTT3025:570:522:4407
Alex DeBrincatDET2425:221:032:5471
Jake SandersonOTT3325:140:461:3918
Thomas ChabotOTT3024:110:481:5652
Nick JensenOTT2722:270:501:5122
Lucas RaymondDET2421:100:531:4652
Ridly GreigOTT2720:420:462:0754
Simon EdvinssonDET2520:210:491:4724
Shane PintoOTT2518:390:452:2635
Ben ChiarotDET2117:500:511:1923
Jeff PetryDET2316:420:441:4622
Brady TkachukOTT2216:210:451:2633
Dylan CozensOTT2216:000:441:1322
David PerronOTT2416:000:401:3721
J.T. CompherDET2415:370:391:0934
Tim StützleOTT2115:040:431:4120
Drake BathersonOTT2115:030:431:1621
Claude GirouxOTT2714:430:331:3856
Vladimir TarasenkoDET2314:230:381:0852
Marco KasperDET2214:050:381:2652
Albert JohanssonDET1913:210:421:3532
Justin HollDET1712:350:441:3333
Michael RasmussenDET1811:340:391:0224
Craig SmithDET1811:110:371:2204
Tyler KlevenOTT1611:020:411:1120
Fabian ZetterlundOTT2110:580:311:0740
Tyler MotteDET1510:450:431:2603
Michael AmadioOTT1310:430:491:2400
Matthew HighmoreOTT1810:360:351:1804
Dominik ShineDET128:160:411:3000
Adam GaudetteOTT97:500:521:1700
Nikolas MatinpaloOTT127:440:390:5821
Austin WatsonDET63:340:360:5000