Thu, Mar 27, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Dallas Stars 5, Calgary Flames 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 69% of the time.
62%
24%
CGY winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 | 24:23 | 0.07 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:54 | 0.00 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:31 | 0.05 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:34 | 0.01 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.29 | 44.2% | +28.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:35 | 0.58 | 46.0% | +24.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.45 | 42.6% | +28.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.01 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:35 | 0.17 | 50.2% | +28.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:15 | 0.00 | 14.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.20 | 17.0% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 14:41 | 0.06 | 20.8% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:30 | 0.00 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:26 | 0.07 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.83 | 16.9% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:08 | 0.21 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.00 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:36 | 0.12 | 77.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 48 | 46 | 2 | .958 | 4.38 | +2.4 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 25:56 | 0.41 | 65.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 23:18 | 0.07 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 21:09 | 0.45 | 55.5% | +38.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:54 | 0.13 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:52 | 0.26 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:48 | 0.20 | 56.8% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:32 | 0.26 | 84.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:47 | 0.28 | 64.2% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:42 | 0.49 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 17:07 | 0.77 | 86.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:37 | 0.31 | 88.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 15:10 | 0.34 | 51.0% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:56 | 0.20 | 52.0% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:53 | 0.00 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:13 | 0.03 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:29 | 0.03 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:26 | 0.16 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:17 | 0.00 | 10.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 18 | 14 | 4 | .778 | 2.31 | −1.7 | 58:54 |