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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 29, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa

New York Islanders 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Away

New York Islanders

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 71% of the time.

TBL winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:15Shot by Fasching, saved by Johansson
  3. P1 2:02Goal by Kucherov (Hedman, Guentzel)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Moser · NYI Lee, Duclair, Pulock, Romanov, MacLean

  4. P1 2:59Shot by Engvall, saved by Johansson
  5. P1 3:31Shot by Engvall, saved by Johansson
  6. P1 5:05Shot by Palmieri, saved by Johansson
  7. P1 5:07Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Johansson
  8. P1 7:26Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 7:31Goal by Perbix, unassisted+11 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Gourde, Guentzel, Perbix · NYI Lee, Pageau, Duclair, Dobson, Romanov

  10. P1 7:52Shot by Horvat, saved by Johansson
  11. P1 10:10Shot by Pageau, saved by Johansson
  12. P1 10:12Shot by Pelech, saved by Johansson
  13. P1 13:02Shot by Cirelli, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 14:08Shot by Duclair, saved by Johansson
  15. P1 14:16Shot by Pageau, saved by Johansson
  16. P1 15:11Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 16:38Shot by Goncalves, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 17:57Goal by Point (McDonagh, Kucherov)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Perbix · NYI Palmieri, Horvat, DeAngelo, Romanov, Holmstrom

  19. P1 18:34Shot by Palmieri, saved by Johansson
  20. P1 18:51Shot by Boqvist, saved by Johansson
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 2:08Shot by Point, saved by Sorokin
  24. P2 2:27Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Johansson
  25. P2 4:29Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin
  26. P2 4:48Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 5:28Raddysh: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Paul, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel · NYI Lee, Pageau, Duclair, Pulock, Boqvist

  28. P2 6:29Shot by Palmieri, saved by Johansson4v5
  29. P2 6:36Shot by Lee, saved by Johansson4v5
  30. P2 6:49Shot by Boqvist, saved by Johansson4v5
  31. P2 7:03Shot by Lee, saved by Johansson4v5
  32. P2 7:03Shot by Lee, saved by Johansson4v5
  33. P2 7:04Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Johansson4v5
  34. P2 7:54Shot by Engvall, saved by Johansson
  35. P2 9:24Shot by Gourde, saved by Sorokin
  36. P2 9:43Shot by Hedman, saved by Sorokin
  37. P2 9:52Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 11:52Shot by Lee, saved by Johansson
  39. P2 12:23Shot by Pelech, saved by Johansson
  40. P2 13:08Shot by Cirelli, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 14:07Shot by Horvat, saved by Johansson
  42. P2 14:13Shot by Pageau, saved by Johansson
  43. P2 14:33Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Sorokin
  44. P2 16:13Shot by Romanov, saved by Johansson
  45. P2 16:58Shot by Palmieri, saved by Johansson
  46. P2 17:09Shot by Palmieri, saved by Johansson
  47. P2 17:18Shot by Hagel, saved by Sorokin
  48. P2 19:03Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin
  49. P2 19:43Goal by Point (Kucherov, Hagel)6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Hagel, Moser · NYI Palmieri, Horvat, Pulock, Dobson, Holmstrom

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:24Shot by Kucherov, saved by Sorokin
  53. P3 4:20Shot by Engvall, saved by Johansson
  54. P3 4:40Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser · NYI Palmieri, Horvat, Boqvist, Romanov, Holmstrom

  55. P3 5:16Shot by Lee, saved by Johansson4v5
  56. P3 5:58Goal by Pulock (Lee, Boqvist)4v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Glendening, Girgensons, Cernak · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pulock, Boqvist, Tsyplakov

  57. P3 7:47Goal by Gatcomb, unassisted+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh · NYI Boqvist, Romanov, MacLean, Gatcomb, Tsyplakov

  58. P3 8:34Shot by Gatcomb, saved by Johansson
  59. P3 8:44Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Johansson
  60. P3 8:47Goal by DeAngelo (Tsyplakov, Pelech)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Glendening, Girgensons, Paul, Perbix, Lilleberg · NYI Pelech, DeAngelo, MacLean, Gatcomb, Tsyplakov

  61. P3 9:16Shot by Dobson, saved by Johansson
  62. P3 10:37Shot by Point, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 12:46Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Johansson
  64. P3 12:54Shot by Perbix, saved by Sorokin
  65. P3 14:09Shot by Fasching, saved by Johansson
  66. P3 15:56Shot by Paul, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 17:05Shot by Guentzel, saved by Sorokin
  68. P3 17:58Shot by Horvat, saved by Johansson5v6
  69. P3 19:46Goal by Guentzel (Kucherov, Hedman)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Moser · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Pageau, Horvat, DeAngelo, Dobson

  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final