Sat, Mar 29, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
New York Islanders 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 71% of the time.
21%
8%
64%
TBL winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Tony DeAngeloD · #4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 23:44 | 0.13 | 66.5% | +12.2 |
 Ryan PulockD · #6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:17 | 0.05 | 52.0% | +1.1 |
 Adam PelechD · #3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:51 | 0.36 | 71.2% | +12.2 |
 Adam BoqvistD · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:48 | 0.04 | 37.3% | +1.1 |
 Noah DobsonD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.04 | 63.1% | 0.0 |
 Bo HorvatC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 19:04 | 0.32 | 73.1% | 0.0 |
 Kyle PalmieriC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 5 | 18:08 | 0.58 | 75.4% | 0.0 |
 Maxim TsyplakovRW · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:01 | 0.38 | 66.6% | +12.2 |
 Hudson FaschingRW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.14 | 42.4% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:09 | 0.39 | 40.4% | 0.0 |
 Casey CizikasC · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:44 | 0.14 | 36.2% | 0.0 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:22 | 0.52 | 66.6% | 0.0 |
 Alexander RomanovD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.03 | 49.8% | 0.0 |
 Anders LeeLW · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 5 | 15:09 | 0.95 | 63.8% | +1.1 |
 Simon HolmstromRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:12 | 0.35 | 70.6% | 0.0 |
 Kyle MacLeanC · #32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:46 | 0.13 | 57.7% | 0.0 |
 Marc GatcombC · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 11:36 | 0.13 | 59.2% | +3.6 |
 Anthony DuclairLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:05 | 0.05 | 62.1% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Sorokin#30 | L | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 2.41 | −1.6 | 57:57 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 22:03 | 0.08 | 63.2% | +12.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:31 | 0.04 | 32.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:37 | 0.02 | 35.4% | +8.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:30 | 0.01 | 44.7% | +1.9 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 6 | 19:43 | 0.52 | 38.4% | +21.9 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 3 | 18:26 | 1.08 | 44.9% | +12.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:53 | 0.24 | 54.4% | 0.0 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 17:21 | 0.02 | 41.9% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.04 | 51.9% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 16:29 | 0.37 | 35.4% | +9.9 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.07 | 57.0% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.16 | 24.5% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:37 | 0.18 | 48.2% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.14 | 35.6% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:41 | 0.15 | 46.0% | +10.7 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:04 | 0.00 | 18.0% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:25 | 0.10 | 44.0% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:19 | 0.00 | 36.2% | 0.0 |
 Jonas Johansson#31 | W | 38 | 35 | 3 | .921 | 4.74 | +1.7 | 59:43 |