Sat, Mar 29, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
New York Islanders 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 71% of the time.
21%
8%
64%
TBL winsNYI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Cizikas–Fasching–Engvall | Palmieri–Horvat–Holmstrom | MacLean–Gatcomb–Tsyplakov | Lee–Pageau–Duclair | Pelech–DeAngelo | Pulock–Dobson | Boqvist–Romanov | Pulock–Boqvist | Dobson–Romanov | DeAngelo–Boqvist | Pelech–Dobson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | 4:510.45–0.10 | 4:090.18–0.82 | 0:450.00–0.04 | 2:010.03–0.26 | 5:590.18–0.36 | 4:300.13–0.78 | 1:050.34–0.04 | 1:050.00–0.10 | |||
| Gourde–Bjorkstrand–Goncalves | 6:030.25–0.23 | 5:090.08–0.36 | 3:300.02–0.39 | 2:360.31–0.03 | 3:000.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.16 | 0:350.00–0.02 | |||
| Paul–Cirelli–Hagel | 2:010.12–0.10 | 7:010.11–0.08 | 2:060.21–0.00 | 3:000.04–0.06 | 2:500.08–0.02 | 1:290.01–0.10 | 2:550.32–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||
| Glendening–Girgensons–Hagel | 3:000.00–0.12 | 1:210.00–0.10 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Glendening–Girgensons–Paul | 2:380.01–0.24 | 1:460.00–0.24 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Glendening–Gourde–Girgensons | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 1:160.22–0.00 | 8:380.17–0.71 | 0:570.00–0.02 | 0:540.09–0.00 | 4:570.11–0.06 | 3:180.07–0.65 | 2:040.26–0.00 | 2:170.09–0.14 | |||
| Hedman–Moser | 4:040.21–0.20 | 1:320.00–0.10 | 2:020.31–0.02 | 2:560.03–0.11 | 3:270.29–0.20 | 2:290.12–0.09 | 1:320.01–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:170.19–0.10 | 0:410.00–0.04 | |
| Perbix–Lilleberg | 2:420.00–0.11 | 3:260.01–0.29 | 3:030.18–0.03 | 3:190.00–0.24 | 1:460.06–0.08 | 2:140.00–0.00 | 1:050.13–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.11 | |||
| Hedman–Raddysh | 2:550.47–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.09 | 1:160.00–0.04 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 2:100.11–0.09 | 2:280.25–0.06 | 0:490.12–0.04 | ||||
| Raddysh–Lilleberg | 2:260.00–0.10 | 1:100.00–0.10 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:410.11–0.00 | |||||||
| McDonagh–Moser | 0:550.00–0.17 | 1:140.00–0.17 | |||||||||
| Hedman–Cernak | |||||||||||
| Raddysh–Moser | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Tony DeAngeloNYI | 30 | 23:44 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 2 | 5 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 29 | 22:03 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 3 | 2 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 23 | 21:31 | 0:56 | 1:40 | 3 | 7 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 27 | 21:17 | 0:47 | 1:52 | 4 | 6 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 27 | 20:51 | 0:46 | 1:27 | 1 | 4 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 22 | 20:37 | 0:56 | 2:05 | 3 | 6 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 25 | 20:30 | 0:49 | 1:42 | 6 | 5 |
 Adam BoqvistNYI | 22 | 19:48 | 0:54 | 2:06 | 2 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 23 | 19:43 | 0:51 | 1:59 | 2 | 4 |
 Noah DobsonNYI | 25 | 19:25 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 3 | 4 |
 Bo HorvatNYI | 22 | 19:04 | 0:52 | 1:59 | 6 | 3 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 24 | 18:26 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 2 | 2 |
 Kyle PalmieriNYI | 23 | 18:08 | 0:47 | 1:59 | 7 | 3 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 21 | 17:53 | 0:51 | 1:40 | 5 | 4 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 25 | 17:21 | 0:42 | 1:34 | 1 | 1 |
 Maxim TsyplakovNYI | 18 | 17:01 | 0:57 | 1:31 | 2 | 3 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 19 | 16:45 | 0:53 | 1:19 | 5 | 3 |
 Hudson FaschingNYI | 20 | 16:30 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 0 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 22 | 16:29 | 0:45 | 1:33 | 1 | 3 |
 Pierre EngvallNYI | 20 | 16:09 | 0:48 | 1:19 | 0 | 3 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 21 | 15:49 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 3 | 2 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 20 | 15:44 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 0 | 3 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 18 | 15:22 | 0:51 | 2:39 | 4 | 3 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 20 | 15:21 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 3 | 2 |
 Alexander RomanovNYI | 21 | 15:12 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 1 | 1 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 19 | 15:09 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 4 | 3 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 21 | 14:12 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 5 | 4 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 17 | 13:37 | 0:48 | 1:14 | 3 | 1 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 17 | 13:25 | 0:47 | 1:30 | 4 | 2 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 19 | 12:41 | 0:40 | 1:23 | 2 | 2 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 18 | 12:04 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 3 | 5 |
 Kyle MacLeanNYI | 15 | 11:46 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 0 | 3 |
 Marc GatcombNYI | 15 | 11:36 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 0 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 16 | 11:25 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 4 | 3 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 16 | 11:19 | 0:42 | 1:26 | 5 | 1 |
 Anthony DuclairNYI | 17 | 11:05 | 0:39 | 1:00 | 2 | 2 |