Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 30, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington

Buffalo Sabres 8, Washington Capitals 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 56% of the time.

WSH winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:29Shot by Clifton, saved by Thompson
  3. P1 1:34Shot by Quinn, saved by Thompson
  4. P1 4:18Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 5:19Shot by Wilson, saved by Reimer
  6. P1 5:29Shot by Krebs, saved by Thompson
  7. P1 6:28Dubois: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Chychrun, Dubois, McMichael · BUF Lafferty, Malenstyn, Thompson, Bernard-Docker, Power, Kozak

  8. P1 7:32Shot by Thompson, saved by Thompson4v5
  9. P1 10:02Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 10:06Goal by Chychrun (Ovechkin, Strome)+12 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Strome, Chychrun, McMichael · BUF Clifton, Lafferty, Byram, Kulich, Benson

  11. P1 10:44Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 10:47Shot by Protas, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 11:10Sandin: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Mangiapane, Strome, Raddysh, Sandin · BUF McLeod, Bernard-Docker, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  14. P1 11:10McLeod: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Mangiapane, Strome, Raddysh, Sandin · BUF McLeod, Bernard-Docker, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  15. P1 11:10Carlson: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Mangiapane, Strome, Raddysh, Sandin · BUF McLeod, Bernard-Docker, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  16. P1 12:30Shot by Dahlin, saved by Thompson4v5
  17. P1 12:49Goal by Thompson (Tuch, Peterka)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Wilson, Roy, Fehérváry, Protas · BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka

  18. P1 13:39Shot by Chychrun, saved by Reimer
  19. P1 15:28Byram: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Eller, Mangiapane, Roy, Chychrun, Raddysh · BUF Clifton, Tuch, Malenstyn, Krebs, Byram

  20. P1 16:33Shot by Benson, saved by Thompson5v4
  21. P1 16:57Shot by McMichael, saved by Reimer5v4
  22. P1 18:01Shot by Protas, saved by Reimer
  23. P1 19:32Shot by Raddysh, saved by Reimer
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:19Shot by Dubois, saved by Reimer
  27. P2 1:28Shot by Sandin, saved by Reimer
  28. P2 2:14Goal by McLeod (Quinn, Power)+21 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Strome, Roy, Fehérváry, Protas · BUF McLeod, Bernard-Docker, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  29. P2 2:46Goal by Chychrun, unassisted+21 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Dowd, van Riemsdyk, Beauvillier, Chychrun, Duhaime · BUF Zucker, Clifton, Tuch, Krebs, Byram

  30. P2 3:46Shot by McMichael, saved by Reimer
  31. P2 5:17Goal by Tuch (Clifton, Zucker)+22 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Chychrun, Protas · BUF Zucker, Clifton, Tuch, Krebs, Byram

  32. P2 6:58Shot by Quinn, saved by Thompson
  33. P2 7:18Shot by Roy, saved by Reimer
  34. P2 8:16Shot by Zucker, saved by Thompson
  35. P2 10:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Thompson
  36. P2 10:48Shot by Peterka, saved by Thompson
  37. P2 11:52Goal by Lafferty (Clifton)+16 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Mangiapane, Roy, Chychrun, Raddysh, Dubois · BUF Clifton, Lafferty, Malenstyn, Byram, Kozak

  38. P2 13:30Wilson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Wilson, Strome, Sandin, Protas · BUF Samuelsson, Krebs, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  39. P2 17:44Shot by Fehérváry, saved by Reimer
  40. P2 18:51Dubois: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Beauvillier, Dubois, Fehérváry, McMichael · BUF Clifton, Lafferty, Malenstyn, Byram, Kozak

  41. P2 19:09Shot by Thompson, saved by Thompson4v5
  42. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:37Goal by Protas (Wilson, Fehérváry)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Wilson, Fehérváry, Protas · BUF McLeod, Quinn, Power, Kulich, Benson

  45. P3 0:41Shot by Carlson, saved by Reimer4v5
  46. P3 1:15Shot by Thompson, saved by Thompson4v5
  47. P3 1:28Goal by Thompson (Zucker, Peterka)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Carlson, Dowd, Duhaime, Fehérváry · BUF Zucker, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Peterka

  48. P3 2:15Shot by Peterka, saved by Thompson
  49. P3 4:14Shot by Clifton, saved by Thompson
  50. P3 4:41Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Thompson
  51. P3 5:52Goal by Quinn, unassisted+6 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Strome, Chychrun, Protas · BUF McLeod, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Quinn, Peterka

  52. P3 7:02Shot by Raddysh, saved by Reimer
  53. P3 9:11Goal by Ovechkin (Sandin, van Riemsdyk)+4 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, van Riemsdyk, Beauvillier, Dubois, Sandin · BUF Zucker, Tuch, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs

  54. P3 10:10Shot by Chychrun, saved by Reimer
  55. P3 12:58Malenstyn: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: WSH Wilson, van Riemsdyk, Mangiapane, Strome, Sandin, Protas · BUF Clifton, Thompson, Byram, Kulich, Benson

  56. P3 13:04Shot by Strome, saved by Reimer5v4
  57. P3 14:03Goal by Dubois (Ovechkin, Strome)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Wilson, Strome, Dubois · BUF Bernard-Docker, Krebs, Byram, Benson

  58. P3 15:34Goal by Tuch (Samuelsson)+11 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Chychrun, Dubois, Sandin, Protas · BUF Tuch, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Benson

  59. P3 16:27Shot by Strome, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 17:01Shot by Carlson, saved by Reimer
  61. P3 17:12Shot by Mangiapane, saved by Reimer
  62. P3 17:38Shot by Strome, saved by Reimer6v5
  63. P3 18:04Shot by Strome, saved by Reimer
  64. P3 18:39Shot by Wilson, saved by Reimer
  65. P3 19:36Goal by Krebs (Quinn)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Carlson, Wilson, Strome, Chychrun, Dubois · BUF Clifton, McLeod, Krebs, Byram, Quinn

  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Final