Sun, Mar 30, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 8, Washington Capitals 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 56% of the time.
47%
9%
36%
WSH winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:18 | 0.20 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:46 | 0.00 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 19:27 | 0.11 | 49.6% | +29.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:05 | 0.02 | 63.8% | +38.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:20 | 0.00 | 25.7% | +11.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:20 | 0.00 | 27.5% | +20.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.39 | 25.5% | +45.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17:43 | 0.66 | 26.1% | +29.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.19 | 56.8% | +20.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 16:39 | 0.40 | 59.8% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 16:18 | 0.15 | 23.9% | +39.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:20 | 0.00 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:55 | 0.00 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.08 | 33.5% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:25 | 0.00 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:08 | 0.90 | 31.6% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:14 | 0.07 | 61.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 24 | 5 | .828 | 3.47 | −1.5 | 59:49 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:12 | 0.05 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −3 | 4 | 21:09 | 0.36 | 67.1% | +32.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:50 | 0.57 | 62.2% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:06 | 0.04 | 58.6% | +16.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 18:23 | 0.23 | 69.6% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.04 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −3 | 4 | 17:21 | 0.52 | 54.1% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.07 | 63.9% | +4.2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | −2 | 3 | 16:22 | 0.36 | 63.0% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:37 | 0.08 | 67.5% | +4.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 15:14 | 0.67 | 62.3% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:20 | 0.20 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:18 | 0.00 | 81.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 13:17 | 0.06 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:58 | 0.00 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:36 | 0.04 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:57 | 0.07 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:00 | 0.11 | 69.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 15 | 7 | .682 | 2.41 | −4.6 | 58:22 |