Sun, Mar 30, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 8, Washington Capitals 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 56% of the time.
47%
9%
36%
WSH winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| McLeod–Quinn–Peterka | Lafferty–Malenstyn–Kozak | Thompson–Kulich–Benson | Zucker–Tuch–Krebs | Thompson–Peterka–Kulich | Zucker–Lafferty–Kozak | Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | Clifton–Byram | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Bernard-Docker–Power | Byram–Power | Dahlin–Byram | Samuelsson–Bernard-Docker | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eller–Mangiapane–Raddysh | 2:430.04–0.01 | 2:140.00–0.00 | 3:000.07–0.01 | 1:580.00–0.00 | 0:460.08–0.00 | ||||||||
| Wilson–Strome–Protas | 1:550.05–0.09 | 1:280.01–0.06 | 1:010.38–0.00 | 0:520.09–0.02 | 1:430.05–0.06 | 1:580.14–0.09 | 1:340.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Ovechkin–Beauvillier–Dubois | 1:030.11–0.04 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 2:430.02–0.03 | 0:390.17–0.00 | 1:220.02–0.00 | 2:320.21–0.05 | 1:050.06–0.03 | ||||||
| Wilson–Dubois–McMichael | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 2:580.21–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 2:520.21–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Dowd–Beauvillier–Duhaime | 1:020.06–0.16 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:210.06–0.00 | 1:120.06–0.00 | 0:400.06–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Protas | 1:430.02–0.21 | 0:330.00–0.08 | 1:200.02–0.21 | 0:530.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Dowd–Duhaime–McMichael | 0:490.04–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.01 | 0:400.00–0.18 | 1:060.00–0.19 | 0:430.04–0.00 | ||||||||
| Dowd–Raddysh–Duhaime | 0:590.08–0.01 | 1:030.08–0.01 | |||||||||||
| Eller–Beauvillier–Protas | 0:580.25–0.00 | 0:350.25–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Eller–Mangiapane–McMichael | 1:060.09–0.00 | 0:310.09–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Eller–Wilson–Mangiapane | 0:300.03–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Chychrun | 2:200.12–0.10 | 2:520.00–0.08 | 0:470.02–0.00 | 1:510.06–0.08 | 5:020.09–0.15 | 3:060.21–0.10 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Roy–Fehérváry | 3:100.02–0.37 | 1:150.09–0.00 | 2:210.00–0.00 | 0:540.25–0.00 | 1:060.04–0.00 | 2:530.06–0.00 | 2:440.27–0.21 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:360.03–0.00 | ||||
| Carlson–Sandin | 2:200.09–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 3:080.15–0.18 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:580.09–0.18 | 3:040.15–0.00 | 2:480.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Carlson–Chychrun | 1:110.18–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.01 | 0:400.00–0.03 | 0:300.04–0.00 | 1:230.16–0.01 | 1:240.11–0.03 | 1:090.18–0.00 | ||||||
| Chychrun–Sandin | 1:450.06–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:450.00–0.00 | 1:080.06–0.00 | |||||||||
| Carlson–Fehérváry | 0:300.00–0.03 | 0:400.04–0.00 | 1:160.09–0.00 | 0:470.04–0.00 | 1:390.09–0.05 | ||||||||
| Roy–Sandin | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:300.06–0.00 | 1:330.06–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Roy–Chychrun | 0:320.00–0.08 | 0:300.04–0.00 | |||||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | |||||||||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Sandin | 0:470.01–0.00 | 0:480.01–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 John CarlsonWSH | 20 | 26:12 | 1:19 | 2:54 | 5 | 2 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 26 | 22:18 | 0:51 | 1:39 | 5 | 2 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 21 | 21:09 | 1:00 | 2:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 23 | 20:50 | 0:54 | 2:14 | 4 | 1 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 27 | 20:46 | 0:46 | 2:00 | 0 | 3 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 21 | 20:06 | 0:57 | 2:14 | 0 | 2 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 21 | 19:27 | 0:56 | 2:13 | 4 | 3 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 26 | 19:05 | 0:44 | 1:53 | 0 | 2 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 22 | 18:23 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 6 | 2 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 24 | 18:20 | 0:46 | 1:32 | 4 | 4 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 24 | 18:20 | 0:46 | 2:03 | 2 | 5 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 21 | 17:57 | 0:51 | 1:46 | 4 | 2 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 18 | 17:56 | 1:00 | 1:51 | 0 | 2 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 23 | 17:43 | 0:46 | 1:39 | 3 | 3 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 25 | 17:27 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 4 | 6 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 19 | 17:21 | 0:55 | 2:05 | 4 | 0 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 19 | 16:46 | 0:53 | 1:34 | 3 | 1 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 22 | 16:39 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 4 | 4 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 18 | 16:22 | 0:55 | 2:17 | 5 | 0 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 19 | 16:18 | 0:51 | 1:39 | 4 | 2 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 23 | 15:58 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 2 | 3 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 17 | 15:37 | 0:55 | 1:25 | 0 | 1 |
 Jiri KulichBUF | 21 | 15:20 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 3 | 3 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 20 | 15:14 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 2 | 1 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 17 | 14:20 | 0:51 | 1:19 | 2 | 3 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 17 | 13:18 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 0 | 2 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 15 | 13:17 | 0:53 | 1:46 | 2 | 1 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 16 | 12:58 | 0:49 | 1:19 | 0 | 6 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerBUF | 21 | 12:55 | 0:37 | 1:06 | 1 | 4 |
 Sam LaffertyBUF | 20 | 12:46 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 2 | 0 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 16 | 12:36 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 0 | 6 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 20 | 12:25 | 0:37 | 1:12 | 2 | 0 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 18 | 12:08 | 0:40 | 1:41 | 1 | 2 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 21 | 11:14 | 0:32 | 0:59 | 2 | 1 |
 Andrew MangiapaneWSH | 16 | 10:57 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 1 | 1 |
 Taylor RaddyshWSH | 14 | 10:00 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 1 | 1 |