Wed, Apr 2, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Florida Panthers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 72% of the time.
20%
66%
TOR winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 26:27 | 0.10 | 76.3% | +6.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:22 | 0.09 | 73.5% | +20.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21:16 | 0.66 | 62.6% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:14 | 0.32 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.34 | 61.4% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:04 | 0.49 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:54 | 0.16 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.17 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:04 | 0.08 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:50 | 0.05 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 15:49 | 0.51 | 71.6% | +6.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:45 | 0.18 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.01 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:35 | 0.02 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:32 | 0.00 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:25 | 0.01 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:53 | 0.18 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:34 | 0.30 | 67.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.25 | −0.7 | 57:40 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24:31 | 0.00 | 38.2% | +9.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.12 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 20:40 | 0.14 | 49.5% | +39.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:34 | 0.51 | 51.8% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:10 | 0.00 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:42 | 0.07 | 35.6% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.04 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:19 | 0.28 | 33.9% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:55 | 0.00 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 17:04 | 0.35 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.36 | 47.5% | +39.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:44 | 0.00 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:27 | 0.29 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:54 | 0.00 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:21 | 0.03 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:05 | 0.01 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:55 | 0.04 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:10 | 0.00 | 41.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.66 | +1.7 | 60:00 |