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Ice Lab

Wed, Apr 2, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Florida Panthers 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 72% of the time.

TOR winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Marchand–Verhaeghe–BennettReinhart–Luostarinen–LundellRodrigues–Boqvist–SamoskevichNosek–Greer–GadjovichJones–ForslingSchmidt–MikkolaMegna–BalinskisMikkola–BalinskisMegna–SchmidtSchmidt–BalinskisForsling–Mikkola
Tavares–Nylander–McMann7:230.42–0.580:540.00–0.010:490.00–0.151:100.06–0.013:420.15–0.103:330.26–0.183:030.18–0.231:380.00–0.46
Marner–Matthews–Knies2:210.23–0.116:490.28–0.721:060.21–0.126:110.16–0.834:210.42–0.130:510.14–0.00
Jarnkrok–Laughton–Domi2:100.15–0.065:260.12–0.151:070.00–0.212:410.00–0.211:500.14–0.053:420.15–0.111:070.02–0.04
Lorentz–Kampf–Holmberg0:380.00–0.003:140.06–0.001:390.06–0.001:260.00–0.001:430.00–0.00
Lorentz–Matthews–Holmberg0:370.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Domi–Lorentz–Holmberg
Tanev–McCabe4:230.23–0.094:360.26–0.273:170.14–0.072:300.06–0.227:210.07–0.523:350.57–0.064:270.07–0.04
Rielly–Carlo2:210.15–0.022:480.00–0.022:150.09–0.211:430.00–0.003:530.14–0.003:240.15–0.041:460.00–0.070:320.00–0.00
Ekman-Larsson–Benoit2:560.00–0.462:340.02–0.461:020.07–0.002:070.06–0.094:180.13–0.592:480.02–0.092:400.28–0.221:020.00–0.33
Ekman-Larsson–Rielly0:490.00–0.000:570.00–0.030:530.02–0.140:450.00–0.031:230.00–0.130:330.02–0.010:320.14–0.00
Carlo–Benoit0:300.04–0.000:480.00–0.011:000.00–0.001:310.00–0.01
Rielly–McCabe0:340.00–0.010:460.00–0.01
Ekman-Larsson–Carlo0:360.00–0.120:340.00–0.150:360.00–0.12
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMarner FKnies FMatthews FNylander FMcMann FTavares FDomi FLaughton FJarnkrok FKampf FLorentz FHolmberg FTanev DMcCabe DRielly DCarlo DBenoit DEkman-Larsson DStolarz GReinhart FLundell FLuostarinen FMarchand FVerhaeghe FBennett FRodrigues FSamoskevich FBoqvist FGreer FNosek FGadjovich FJones DForsling DSchmidt DMikkola DBalinskis DMegna DBobrovsky G
TORFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Seth JonesFLA2626:271:013:3762
Jake McCabeTOR2824:310:532:1616
Chris TanevTOR2821:510:473:1916
Gustav ForslingFLA2421:220:531:5052
Sam ReinhartFLA2321:160:553:2632
Mitch MarnerTOR2320:400:541:5525
Auston MatthewsTOR2520:340:491:5526
Anton LundellFLA2320:140:533:2022
Morgan RiellyTOR2619:100:441:1121
Sam BennettFLA2119:090:553:0042
Carter VerhaegheFLA2319:040:502:0642
Niko MikkolaFLA2518:540:451:2823
William NylanderTOR2218:420:512:0522
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2618:320:431:5344
John TavaresTOR2118:190:522:3811
Brandon CarloTOR2717:550:401:1713
Brad MarchandFLA2117:050:491:2852
Bobby McMannTOR2217:040:471:3321
Uvis BalinskisFLA2017:040:512:1921
Nate SchmidtFLA2416:500:421:1323
Matthew KniesTOR2016:440:501:3221
Mackie SamoskevichFLA2015:490:473:1142
Eetu LuostarinenFLA2115:450:451:1721
Simon BenoitTOR2115:440:451:5001
Max DomiTOR1814:270:481:1412
Jaycob MegnaFLA2014:220:431:2641
Jesper BoqvistFLA2013:350:411:2242
Evan RodriguesFLA1813:320:451:2632
Calle JarnkrokTOR1812:540:431:0812
Scott LaughtonTOR1812:210:411:0912
Jonah GadjovichFLA1310:250:481:4020
Pontus HolmbergTOR1510:050:401:2602
Steven LorentzTOR159:550:401:1102
A.J. GreerFLA139:530:461:3920
Tomas NosekFLA139:340:441:0620
David KampfTOR118:100:451:4301