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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 3, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Ottawa Senators 2

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

1

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 63% of the time.

OTT winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:38Shot by Hagel, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 2:44Shot by Gaudette, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 3:03Shot by Cirelli, saved by Ullmark
  5. P1 3:40Shot by Pinto, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 4:15Shot by Perbix, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 5:22Shot by Point, saved by Ullmark
  8. P1 7:33Shot by Gourde, saved by Ullmark
  9. P1 8:15Chabot: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Jensen, Amadio, Chabot, Pinto, Greig · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Hagel

  10. P1 9:07Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark4v5
  11. P1 10:20Shot by Point, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 10:45Shot by Perron, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 10:54Shot by Point, saved by Ullmark
  14. P1 13:45Goal by Pinto (Greig)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub · TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Goncalves, Moser

  15. P1 13:57Shot by Amadio, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 15:11Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark5v6
  17. P1 15:24Batherson: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Perron, Jensen, Chabot, Batherson, Cozens · TBL Kucherov, Paul, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix, Lilleberg

  18. P1 16:38Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark4v5
  19. P1 16:45Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark4v5
  20. P1 16:51Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark4v5
  21. P1 17:21Shot by Guentzel, saved by Ullmark4v5
  22. P1 17:41Shot by Batherson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 18:21Shot by Stützle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P1 18:27Shot by Chabot, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:49Shot by Paul, saved by Ullmark
  28. P2 1:54Shot by Hagel, saved by Ullmark
  29. P2 2:51Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark
  30. P2 3:24Shot by Zub, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 4:10Goncalves: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Zetterlund, Kleven, Stützle, Matinpalo · TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Bjorkstrand, Cernak, Goncalves, Moser

  32. P2 5:17Goal by Sanderson (Stützle, Greig)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Batherson, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson, Stützle · TBL Hedman, Glendening, Girgensons, Moser

  33. P2 6:58Shot by Gourde, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 7:00Goal by Hagel (Gourde, McDonagh)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Jensen, Zetterlund, Batherson, Cozens, Kleven · TBL McDonagh, Gourde, Paul, Cernak, Hagel

  35. P2 7:48Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark
  36. P2 10:34Shot by Sanderson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 11:03Kucherov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub · TBL Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh, Lilleberg

  38. P2 12:20Shot by Cozens, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  39. P2 12:50Shot by Cozens, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  40. P2 14:49Shot by Sanderson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 15:50Shot by Crookshank, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 16:42Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 18:50Shot by McDonagh, saved by Ullmark
  44. P2 19:37Shot by Guentzel, saved by Ullmark
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 3:51Shot by Perron, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P3 5:12Guentzel: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Highmore, Batherson, Cozens, Sanderson, Zub · TBL Guentzel, Point, Perbix, Goncalves, Moser

  49. P3 5:58Shot by Hagel, saved by Ullmark5v4
  50. P3 6:14Shot by Cirelli, saved by Ullmark5v4
  51. P3 7:05Shot by Gaudette, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  52. P3 12:27Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Ullmark
  53. P3 13:00Shot by Hedman, saved by Ullmark
  54. P3 14:55Batherson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Perron, Jensen, Chabot, Batherson, Cozens · TBL Paul, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser, Lilleberg

  55. P3 15:31Shot by Guentzel, saved by Ullmark4v5
  56. P3 16:01Shot by Point, saved by Ullmark4v5
  57. P3 17:19Shot by Paul, saved by Ullmark
  58. P3 17:21Shot by Gourde, saved by Ullmark
  59. P3 17:23Shot by Paul, saved by Ullmark
  60. P3 17:58Shot by Zub, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 18:49Shot by Point, saved by Ullmark5v6
  62. P3 19:57Shot by Paul, saved by Ullmark5v6
  63. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  64. P3 0:00Final5v6