Thu, Apr 3, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 63% of the time.
28%
10%
55%
OTT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:48 | 0.10 | 33.4% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 25:09 | 0.57 | 54.4% | 0.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:06 | 0.35 | 55.6% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24:02 | 0.50 | 52.6% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:49 | 0.63 | 66.3% | +13.1 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:22 | 0.03 | 64.6% | +13.1 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.25 | 56.0% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:56 | 0.00 | 67.2% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 16:51 | 0.41 | 72.3% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:38 | 0.00 | 59.7% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:13 | 0.31 | 78.3% | +13.1 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:51 | 0.00 | 33.2% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:08 | 0.00 | 34.7% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:49 | 0.00 | 68.0% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.01 | 75.3% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:22 | 0.08 | 53.5% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:35 | 0.00 | 19.9% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:25 | 0.00 | 32.0% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 1.97 | 0.0 | 57:09 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake SandersonD · #85 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 25:50 | 0.14 | 48.5% | +12.1 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:57 | 0.12 | 51.5% | 0.0 |
 Ridly GreigC · #71 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 21:36 | 0.47 | 53.8% | +25.2 |
 Shane PintoC · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:28 | 0.38 | 60.5% | +13.1 |
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:43 | 0.05 | 49.6% | 0.0 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:39 | 0.11 | 40.6% | 0.0 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:25 | 0.15 | 43.4% | +12.1 |
 Nick JensenD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:59 | 0.00 | 33.9% | 0.0 |
 Michael AmadioRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.20 | 54.9% | 0.0 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.16 | 13.4% | 0.0 |
 Fabian ZetterlundLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.11 | 34.5% | 0.0 |
 Tyler KlevenD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:51 | 0.02 | 3.5% | 0.0 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.00 | 17.6% | 0.0 |
 David PerronLW · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:21 | 0.16 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
 Nikolas MatinpaloD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:55 | 0.00 | 33.0% | 0.0 |
 Matthew HighmoreC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:39 | 0.00 | 27.5% | 0.0 |
 Adam GaudetteRW · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:47 | 0.36 | 81.4% | 0.0 |
 Angus CrookshankC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:08 | 0.02 | 45.2% | 0.0 |
 Linus Ullmark#35 | W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 3.23 | +2.2 | 60:00 |