Sat, Apr 5, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Dallas Stars 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 70% of the time.
23%
63%
DAL winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 24:30 | 0.05 | 75.8% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | 24:04 | 0.28 | 84.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:22 | 0.07 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:43 | 0.06 | 28.0% | +5.9 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 5 | 19:29 | 0.88 | 53.0% | +71.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:55 | 0.74 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:24 | 0.18 | 50.6% | +14.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 18:09 | 0.47 | 43.8% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:57 | 0.33 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 17:33 | 0.02 | 61.5% | +23.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:34 | 0.18 | 71.8% | +47.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.20 | 59.2% | +47.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:26 | 0.20 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:58 | 0.01 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.01 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:47 | 0.19 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 7:09 | 0.18 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:39 | 0.20 | 73.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.88 | −0.1 | 60:00 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:15 | 0.07 | 32.2% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 23:15 | 0.13 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:27 | 0.18 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:34 | 0.00 | 36.6% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:01 | 0.00 | 34.0% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.05 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:31 | 0.52 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:02 | 0.29 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:46 | 0.20 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.03 | 37.1% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:13 | 0.26 | 61.8% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.21 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:21 | 0.16 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.07 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:09 | 0.64 | 54.6% | +61.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:47 | 0.08 | 15.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:33 | 0.00 | 72.5% | +16.4 |
| L | 39 | 35 | 4 | .897 | 3.93 | −0.1 | 59:40 |