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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 5, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Dallas Stars 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 70% of the time.

DAL winsPIT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Malkin–Rakell–KoivunenCrosby–Rust–McGroartyHeinen–Acciari–LizotteHayes–Dewar–TomasinoLetang–GrzelcykKarlsson–TimminsGraves–SheaLetang–Graves
Rantanen–Hintz–Robertson1:370.00–0.004:250.09–0.154:020.14–0.230:520.00–0.005:420.14–0.203:120.05–0.152:130.06–0.03
Duchene–Granlund–Marchment3:150.00–0.141:590.25–0.002:510.16–0.151:230.00–0.004:060.08–0.243:360.25–0.022:160.08–0.02
Dadonov–Rantanen–Johnston1:580.00–0.101:010.02–0.200:320.00–0.012:180.00–0.561:250.21–0.061:260.00–0.050:370.00–0.00
Steel–Bourque–Johnston0:480.00–0.002:090.00–0.030:450.00–0.001:590.00–0.000:430.00–0.27
Blackwell–Bäck–Bourque1:500.11–0.001:290.00–0.010:430.00–0.001:130.05–0.010:580.06–0.00
Dadonov–Blackwell–Bäck0:400.00–0.030:430.00–0.001:140.17–0.030:540.00–0.00
Blackwell–Steel–Bourque0:490.00–0.500:560.00–0.011:090.07–0.000:350.00–0.00
Dadonov–Bourque–Johnston0:570.00–0.001:070.00–0.00
Lyubushkin–Harley8:510.08–0.771:290.00–0.171:060.10–0.051:530.17–0.277:250.10–0.144:290.43–0.262:200.06–0.34
Dumba–Bichsel1:190.00–0.008:300.20–0.380:440.00–0.006:230.08–0.520:450.00–0.003:440.09–0.03
Ceci–Lindell1:010.26–0.007:350.36–0.210:570.00–0.011:070.00–0.012:260.03–0.207:080.56–0.022:440.03–0.02
Harley–Bichsel0:350.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:560.00–0.04
Lindell–Harley0:490.00–0.130:400.00–0.13
Lyubushkin–Bichsel0:580.06–0.000:580.06–0.00
Dumba–Lindell0:410.02–0.000:450.10–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBäck FBlackwell FDadonov FRobertson FHintz FJohnston FRantanen FDuchene FMarchment FGranlund FSteel FBourque FLindell DCeci DHarley DDumba DBichsel DLyubushkin DDeSmith GMcGroarty FRust FCrosby FDewar FLizotte FAcciari FMalkin FKoivunen FRakell FHeinen FHayes FTomasino FGrzelcyk DLetang DShea DTimmins DKarlsson DGraves DJarry G
DALPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT2924:300:511:4544
Thomas HarleyDAL2324:151:031:5143
Matt GrzelcykPIT2724:040:532:3153
Mikko RantanenDAL2723:150:521:2255
Esa LindellDAL2421:270:542:1918
Erik KarlssonPIT2620:220:471:1443
Conor TimminsPIT2519:430:471:1424
Sidney CrosbyPIT2419:290:491:4071
Rickard RakellPIT2118:550:542:3651
Ilya LyubushkinDAL2318:340:481:2525
Evgeni MalkinPIT2318:240:481:2432
Bryan RustPIT2418:090:451:4060
Lian BichselDAL2118:010:511:4351
Ville KoivunenPIT2117:570:512:1051
Cody CeciDAL2317:370:461:4028
Rutger McGroartyPIT2517:330:421:1652
Wyatt JohnstonDAL2217:310:482:1577
Roope HintzDAL2017:020:511:3333
Jason RobertsonDAL2016:460:501:1833
Mathew DumbaDAL2016:060:481:4651
Blake LizottePIT2315:340:411:1519
Danton HeinenPIT2015:320:471:2516
Noel AcciariPIT2215:260:421:2126
Matt DucheneDAL2015:130:461:2032
Ryan SheaPIT2114:580:431:2825
Mikael GranlundDAL2014:540:451:3521
Mason MarchmentDAL1914:210:451:4031
Mavrik BourqueDAL1613:430:511:1625
Evgenii DadonovDAL1913:090:421:2324
Ryan GravesPIT1713:080:461:1823
Colin BlackwellDAL1712:300:441:1616
Sam SteelDAL1210:470:541:4045
Oskar BäckDAL149:330:411:1511
Connor DewarPIT158:470:350:5753
Philip TomasinoPIT107:090:431:1241
Kevin HayesPIT106:390:401:0531