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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 5, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Dallas Stars 3

Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

5

Final

Home

Dallas Stars

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 70% of the time.

DAL winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Letang: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Dadonov, Blackwell, Ceci, Lindell, Bäck · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Grzelcyk, McGroarty

  3. P1 0:39Shot by Johnston, saved by Jarry5v4
  4. P1 2:15Shot by Dumba, saved by Jarry5v4
  5. P1 2:40Marchment: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Dadonov, Granlund, Dumba, Marchment, Bichsel · PIT Malkin, Letang, Shea, Timmins, Dewar

  6. P1 2:44Shot by Grzelcyk, saved by DeSmith4v5
  7. P1 3:23Shot by Grzelcyk, saved by DeSmith4v5
  8. P1 3:35Shot by Rakell, saved by DeSmith4v5
  9. P1 3:44Shot by Rust, saved by DeSmith4v5
  10. P1 4:16Goal by Crosby (Malkin, Letang)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Ceci, Lindell, Hintz, Johnston · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Karlsson, McGroarty

  11. P1 7:27Shot by Robertson, saved by Jarry
  12. P1 8:00Shot by Timmins, saved by DeSmith
  13. P1 10:43Goal by Dadonov (Bäck, Bichsel)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Dadonov, Blackwell, Bäck, Lyubushkin, Harley · PIT Karlsson, Hayes, Timmins, Dewar, Tomasino

  14. P1 11:02Shot by Letang, saved by DeSmith
  15. P1 11:56Shot by Crosby, saved by DeSmith
  16. P1 14:23Shot by Rust, saved by DeSmith
  17. P1 14:32Lyubushkin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Steel, Lyubushkin, Harley, Bourque, Johnston · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Grzelcyk, McGroarty

  18. P1 14:38Shot by Grzelcyk, saved by DeSmith4v5
  19. P1 15:35Shot by Granlund, saved by Jarry4v5
  20. P1 16:15Shot by Tomasino, saved by DeSmith4v5
  21. P1 17:01Shot by Robertson, saved by Jarry
  22. P1 17:33Shot by Heinen, saved by DeSmith
  23. P1 18:43Shot by Duchene, saved by Jarry
  24. P1 18:44Shot by Duchene, saved by Jarry
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:33Shot by Ceci, saved by Jarry
  28. P2 2:30Shot by Heinen, saved by DeSmith
  29. P2 2:39Shot by Lizotte, saved by DeSmith
  30. P2 4:33Shot by Rantanen, saved by Jarry
  31. P2 4:52Shot by Grzelcyk, saved by DeSmith
  32. P2 6:48Shot by Granlund, saved by Jarry
  33. P2 8:37Hintz: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Rantanen, Hintz, Robertson, Lyubushkin, Harley · PIT Malkin, Letang, Rakell, Grzelcyk, Koivunen

  34. P2 9:21Shot by Rakell, saved by DeSmith4v5
  35. P2 9:26Shot by Crosby, saved by DeSmith4v5
  36. P2 10:11Shot by Rust, saved by DeSmith4v5
  37. P2 10:55Letang: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Hintz, Robertson, Lyubushkin, Harley, Johnston · PIT Malkin, Letang, Karlsson, Tomasino, McGroarty

  38. P2 12:36Goal by Dadonov (Duchene, Dumba)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Dadonov, Duchene, Granlund, Dumba, Marchment · PIT Grzelcyk, Shea, Dewar, Lizotte

  39. P2 13:48Shot by Dadonov, saved by Jarry
  40. P2 14:17Shot by Karlsson, saved by DeSmith
  41. P2 15:46Shot by Letang, saved by DeSmith
  42. P2 17:11Shot by Graves, saved by DeSmith
  43. P2 18:27Shot by Hintz, saved by Jarry
  44. P2 18:59Shot by Acciari, saved by DeSmith
  45. P2 19:29Shot by Timmins, saved by DeSmith
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:20Goal by Crosby (McGroarty)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Dadonov, Ceci, Lindell, Rantanen, Johnston · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Grzelcyk, McGroarty

  49. P3 2:15Shot by Acciari, saved by DeSmith
  50. P3 3:11Goal by Dadonov (Harley, Lyubushkin)+25 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Dadonov, Rantanen, Lyubushkin, Harley, Johnston · PIT Malkin, Karlsson, Rakell, Shea, Tomasino

  51. P3 3:18Shot by Malkin, saved by DeSmith
  52. P3 3:28Shot by Malkin, saved by DeSmith
  53. P3 3:59Shot by Rakell, saved by DeSmith
  54. P3 4:00Shot by Koivunen, saved by DeSmith
  55. P3 4:02Shot by Grzelcyk, saved by DeSmith
  56. P3 4:10Shot by Karlsson, saved by DeSmith
  57. P3 5:18Shot by Marchment, saved by Jarry
  58. P3 6:39Shot by Harley, saved by Jarry
  59. P3 6:54Shot by Robertson, saved by Jarry
  60. P3 7:23Shot by Dewar, saved by DeSmith
  61. P3 7:30Shot by Hayes, saved by DeSmith
  62. P3 7:58Shot by Malkin, saved by DeSmith
  63. P3 8:49Goal by Rust (Crosby)+28 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Rantanen, Hintz, Robertson, Lyubushkin, Harley · PIT Crosby, Karlsson, Rust, Timmins, McGroarty

  64. P3 12:37Shot by Rust, saved by DeSmith
  65. P3 13:52Shot by Harley, saved by Jarry
  66. P3 14:09Shot by Steel, saved by Jarry
  67. P3 14:19Shot by Rakell, saved by DeSmith
  68. P3 14:26Shot by Karlsson, saved by DeSmith
  69. P3 15:03Shot by Dadonov, saved by Jarry
  70. P3 15:13Shot by Marchment, saved by Jarry
  71. P3 17:17Shot by Ceci, saved by Jarry
  72. P3 18:17Goal by Lizotte (Heinen)+48 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Dadonov, Ceci, Rantanen, Harley, Johnston · PIT Letang, Grzelcyk, Heinen, Acciari, Lizotte

  73. P3 18:45Goal by Crosby (Timmins)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Duchene, Rantanen, Hintz, Robertson, Harley, Johnston · PIT Crosby, Letang, Rust, Timmins, McGroarty

  74. P3 19:32Shot by Lindell, saved by Jarry
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final