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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 9, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

New York Islanders 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Away

New York Islanders

3

Final

Home

Pittsburgh Penguins

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 52% of the time.

PIT winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:32Shot by Lee, saved by Jarry
  3. P1 0:47Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry
  4. P1 0:54Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry
  5. P1 2:03Shot by Novak, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 2:13Shot by Brunicke, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 3:00Romanov: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Jones, Koivunen · NYI Mayfield, Duclair, Horvat, Tsyplakov, Schaefer

  8. P1 3:19Shot by Rakell, saved by Sorokin5v4
  9. P1 3:23Goal by Rakell (Malkin, Crosby)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Karlsson, Rakell · NYI Palmieri, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock

  10. P1 4:34Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 4:59Shot by Pelech, saved by Jarry
  12. P1 5:45Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Jarry
  13. P1 7:38Shot by Mayfield, saved by Jarry
  14. P1 7:41Acciari: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Acciari, Shea, Dewar, Lizotte · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Mayfield, Barzal, Schaefer

  15. P1 7:51Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry4v5
  16. P1 8:37Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry4v5
  17. P1 11:36Shot by Horvat, saved by Jarry
  18. P1 12:02Goal by Drouin (Schaefer)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Novak, Wotherspoon, Hallander, Kindel · NYI Mayfield, Drouin, Horvat, Heineman, Schaefer

  19. P1 14:13Shot by Dewar, saved by Sorokin
  20. P1 16:40Shot by Karlsson, saved by Sorokin
  21. P1 16:41Shot by Kindel, saved by Sorokin
  22. P1 17:22Shot by Pelech, saved by Jarry
  23. P1 17:43Shot by Lizotte, saved by Sorokin
  24. P1 18:17Shot by Brunicke, saved by Sorokin
  25. P1 18:42Shot by Duclair, saved by Jarry
  26. P1 19:54Shot by Koivunen, saved by Sorokin
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:09Shot by Horvat, saved by Jarry
  30. P2 3:11Shot by Cizikas, saved by Jarry
  31. P2 4:04Goal by Palmieri (Barzal, Mayfield)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Novak, Wotherspoon, Shea, Hallander · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Mayfield, Barzal, Schaefer

  32. P2 4:18Shot by Wotherspoon, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 4:48Shot by Pageau, saved by Jarry
  34. P2 5:16Shot by Malkin, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 5:18Shot by Malkin, saved by Sorokin
  36. P2 5:41Goal by Brunicke (Hallander, Novak)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Novak, Jones, Hallander, Brunicke, Kindel · NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Duclair, Tsyplakov, Schaefer

  37. P2 6:14Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 7:00Palmieri: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Wotherspoon, Koivunen · NYI Palmieri, Drouin, DeAngelo, Barzal, Romanov

  39. P2 7:00Wotherspoon: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Crosby, Letang, Rakell, Wotherspoon, Koivunen · NYI Palmieri, Drouin, DeAngelo, Barzal, Romanov

  40. P2 7:24Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry4v4
  41. P2 8:43Horvat: Hooking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Mantha, Brunicke · NYI Pelech, Horvat, Pulock, Holmstrom

  42. P2 8:58Goal by Crosby (Malkin, Rakell)4v3+24 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Karlsson, Rakell · NYI Pageau, Pelech, Pulock

  43. P2 10:53Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Jarry
  44. P2 11:08Shot by Lee, saved by Jarry
  45. P2 11:10Shot by Lee, saved by Jarry
  46. P2 11:40Karlsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Karlsson, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Dewar, Lizotte · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Mayfield, Barzal, Schaefer

  47. P2 11:49Shot by Horvat, saved by Jarry4v5
  48. P2 12:16Shot by Horvat, saved by Jarry4v5
  49. P2 13:23Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Jarry4v5
  50. P2 13:38Barzal: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PIT Letang, Shea, Dewar, Lizotte · NYI Palmieri, Drouin, Horvat, DeAngelo, Barzal

  51. P2 14:24Shot by Horvat, saved by Jarry5v4
  52. P2 17:18Shot by Mantha, saved by Sorokin
  53. P2 17:53Shot by Shea, saved by Sorokin
  54. P2 18:55Shot by Kindel, saved by Sorokin
  55. P2 19:19Goal by Shabanov (Holmstrom)+30 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Mantha, Jones, Brazeau, Brunicke · NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Holmstrom, Schaefer, Shabanov

  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 2:15Holmstrom: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Novak, Jones, Hallander, Brunicke, Kindel · NYI Pageau, DeAngelo, Romanov, Holmstrom, Shabanov

  59. P3 3:35Shot by Malkin, saved by Sorokin5v4
  60. P3 3:36Shot by Malkin, saved by Sorokin5v4
  61. P3 4:12Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry5v4
  62. P3 5:33Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Jarry
  63. P3 7:10Shot by Novak, saved by Sorokin
  64. P3 7:38Shot by Schaefer, saved by Jarry
  65. P3 8:43Shot by Dewar, saved by Sorokin
  66. P3 8:59Shot by Karlsson, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 9:10Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  68. P3 9:39Shot by Horvat, saved by Jarry
  69. P3 11:13Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry
  70. P3 14:21Goal by Brazeau (Malkin, Mantha)+42 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Mantha, Jones, Brazeau, Brunicke · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Mayfield, Barzal, Schaefer

  71. P3 14:53Shot by Letang, saved by Sorokin
  72. P3 15:41Shot by Pelech, saved by Jarry
  73. P3 16:15Kindel: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Karlsson, Hallander, Koivunen, Kindel · NYI Pelech, Drouin, Horvat, Heineman, Schaefer

  74. P3 17:11Shot by Palmieri, saved by Jarry4v5
  75. P3 17:26Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry4v6
  76. P3 18:31Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry5v6
  77. P3 18:59Shot by Horvat, saved by Jarry5v6
  78. P3 19:43Shot by Lee, saved by Jarry5v6
  79. P3 19:45Drouin: Cross checking (5 min)5v6

    On ice: PIT Letang, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Dewar, Lizotte · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Drouin, Horvat, Barzal, Schaefer

  80. P3 19:45Drouin: Game misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Letang, Wotherspoon, Acciari, Dewar, Lizotte · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Drouin, Horvat, Barzal, Schaefer

  81. P3 19:57Shot by Barzal, saved by Jarry5v4
  82. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  83. P3 0:00Final5v4