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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 9, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

New York Islanders 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 52% of the time.

PIT winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Palmieri–Lee–BarzalDrouin–Horvat–HeinemanCizikas–Duclair–TsyplakovPageau–Holmstrom–ShabanovLee–Barzal–ShabanovDeAngelo–RomanovPelech–PulockMayfield–SchaeferDeAngelo–SchaeferMayfield–RomanovPelech–Romanov
Malkin–Mantha–Brazeau3:120.22–0.150:320.00–0.001:440.03–0.001:370.29–0.193:530.29–0.181:110.00–0.021:490.22–0.150:300.03–0.00
Acciari–Dewar–Lizotte3:180.00–0.361:090.03–0.000:470.17–0.001:320.11–0.011:000.00–0.001:530.11–0.011:200.20–0.063:310.00–0.361:090.00–0.00
Crosby–Rakell–Koivunen1:020.00–0.003:380.21–0.060:360.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:350.00–0.014:550.21–0.050:300.10–0.00
Novak–Hallander–Kindel0:510.00–0.132:320.09–0.111:200.09–0.002:560.12–0.112:000.18–0.13
Crosby–Rakell–Hallander2:010.00–0.172:250.00–0.170:400.00–0.00
Novak–Koivunen–Kindel0:410.00–0.000:500.16–0.001:380.16–0.000:430.02–0.00
Letang–Shea4:030.00–0.284:080.21–0.051:390.03–0.001:170.16–0.003:270.16–0.026:110.21–0.321:520.00–0.05
Karlsson–Wotherspoon3:080.02–0.382:350.00–0.171:210.17–0.092:070.09–0.011:580.00–0.023:120.17–0.114:290.20–0.51
Jones–Brunicke1:550.22–0.061:240.08–0.002:300.09–0.062:140.29–0.195:300.42–0.242:000.37–0.070:440.00–0.00
Wotherspoon–Shea0:480.03–0.071:250.00–0.051:120.00–0.050:510.03–0.001:120.02–0.07
Letang–Karlsson1:130.00–0.080:440.15–0.000:360.00–0.080:450.00–0.00
Jones–Shea1:000.00–0.001:000.00–0.00
Wotherspoon–Jones0:330.00–0.00
Letang–Wotherspoon0:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBrazeau FMalkin FCrosby FAcciari FLizotte FDewar FHallander FKindel FNovak FKoivunen FRakell FMantha FShea DLetang DWotherspoon DKarlsson DBrunicke DJones DJarry GHorvat FDrouin FHeineman FBarzal FPalmieri FLee FShabanov FHolmstrom FPageau FCizikas FTsyplakov FDuclair FPelech DPulock DSchaefer DMayfield DRomanov DDeAngelo DSorokin G
PITNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT2726:501:003:3744
Tony DeAngeloNYI2723:350:522:1952
Ryan SheaPIT2422:450:572:2725
Bo HorvatNYI2321:160:554:1662
Mathew BarzalNYI1921:011:063:3051
Parker WotherspoonPIT2220:530:571:5506
Kyle PalmieriNYI2120:390:593:3053
Erik KarlssonPIT2320:340:541:3755
Alexander RomanovNYI2420:240:511:3312
Rickard RakellPIT2620:010:461:2465
Jonathan DrouinNYI1719:471:104:1481
Sidney CrosbyPIT2319:300:511:3172
Evgeni MalkinPIT2118:110:521:5672
Adam PelechNYI2618:050:421:3746
Ryan PulockNYI2618:040:421:2546
Matthew SchaeferNYI2317:150:451:1131
Anders LeeNYI2016:470:502:1061
Blake LizottePIT2116:120:461:2009
Scott MayfieldNYI2115:300:441:0911
Caleb JonesPIT1815:210:511:2625
Anthony ManthaPIT1813:300:451:2341
Connor DewarPIT1913:270:421:2007
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2013:210:401:0815
Emil HeinemanNYI1613:120:501:2131
Noel AcciariPIT1813:100:441:2106
Ben KindelPIT2213:060:361:1012
Harrison BrunickePIT1712:430:451:0822
Filip HallanderPIT1912:360:401:1824
Casey CizikasNYI1712:330:441:1021
Ville KoivunenPIT1712:210:441:0321
Simon HolmstromNYI1911:500:371:1014
Justin BrazeauPIT1711:220:401:0341
Anthony DuclairNYI1411:190:491:1421
Maxim TsyplakovNYI1410:590:471:1521
Tommy NovakPIT1410:040:431:4812
Maxim ShabanovNYI149:450:421:1822