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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 9, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

New York Islanders 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 52% of the time.

PIT winsNYI wins

New York Islanders

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Tony DeAngeloD · #770000323:350.0824.2%0.0
Bo HorvatC · #14000+1721:160.6059.1%0.0
Mathew BarzalC · #130110421:010.2275.4%+17.1
Kyle PalmieriC · #211010820:390.5271.5%+17.1
Alexander RomanovD · #280000020:240.0223.6%0.0
Jonathan DrouinLW · #29101+1119:470.2550.7%+16.3
Adam PelechD · #30000318:050.0857.3%0.0
Ryan PulockD · #60000018:040.0056.6%0.0
Matthew SchaeferD · #48011+1117:150.0457.0%+16.3
Anders LeeLW · #270000416:470.6276.7%0.0
Scott MayfieldD · #24011+1115:300.0554.0%+17.1
Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44000+1113:210.1623.3%0.0
Emil HeinemanLW · #51000+1013:120.1358.0%0.0
Casey CizikasC · #53000−1112:330.0620.7%0.0
Simon HolmstromRW · #10011+1011:500.0020.5%+29.8
Anthony DuclairLW · #11000−1111:190.1022.9%0.0
Maxim TsyplakovRW · #7000−1110:590.0018.8%0.0
Maxim ShabanovRW · #49101+119:450.0723.9%+29.8
Ilya Sorokin#30L28244.8573.13−0.957:45

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Kris LetangD · #580000426:500.2262.6%0.0
Ryan SheaD · #5000−1122:450.0542.2%0.0
Parker WotherspoonD · #28000−2120:530.0536.5%0.0
Erik KarlssonD · #65000−1220:340.1942.9%0.0
Rickard RakellRW · #671120220:010.6164.0%+34.3
Sidney CrosbyC · #87112−1119:300.4851.8%+34.3
Evgeni MalkinC · #710330418:110.5454.1%+76.3
Blake LizotteC · #460000116:120.0242.3%0.0
Caleb JonesD · #82000+1015:210.0777.7%0.0
Anthony ManthaRW · #390110113:300.0364.7%+42.0
Connor DewarC · #190000213:270.1447.8%0.0
Noel AcciariC · #550000013:100.0051.4%0.0
Ben KindelC · #810000213:060.0460.6%0.0
Harrison BrunickeD · #45101+1312:430.1869.6%+17.3
Filip HallanderC · #11011−1012:360.0045.0%+17.3
Ville KoivunenRW · #410000112:210.0282.8%0.0
Justin BrazeauRW · #161010111:220.2250.2%+42.0
Tommy NovakC · #18011−1210:040.2861.3%+17.3
Tristan Jarry#35W37343.9193.000.059:24