Thu, Oct 9, 2025·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
New York Islanders 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 52% of the time.
44%
8%
9%
39%
PIT winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:35 | 0.08 | 24.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 21:16 | 0.60 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:01 | 0.22 | 75.4% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 20:39 | 0.52 | 71.5% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:24 | 0.02 | 23.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.25 | 50.7% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:05 | 0.08 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:04 | 0.00 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:15 | 0.04 | 57.0% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:47 | 0.62 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.05 | 54.0% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.16 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:12 | 0.13 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:33 | 0.06 | 20.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:50 | 0.00 | 20.5% | +29.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:19 | 0.10 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:59 | 0.00 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:45 | 0.07 | 23.9% | +29.8 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 3.13 | −0.9 | 57:45 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26:50 | 0.22 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:45 | 0.05 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.05 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:34 | 0.19 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.61 | 64.0% | +34.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 19:30 | 0.48 | 51.8% | +34.3 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18:11 | 0.54 | 54.1% | +76.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.02 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:21 | 0.07 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.03 | 64.7% | +42.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:27 | 0.14 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:10 | 0.00 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:06 | 0.04 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:43 | 0.18 | 69.6% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 12:36 | 0.00 | 45.0% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:21 | 0.02 | 82.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:22 | 0.22 | 50.2% | +42.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 10:04 | 0.28 | 61.3% | +17.3 |
| W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 3.00 | 0.0 | 59:24 |