Thu, Oct 9, 2025·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Dallas Stars 5, Winnipeg Jets 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 76% of the time.
17%
70%
WPG winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 27:02 | 0.39 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:55 | 0.01 | 79.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:52 | 0.02 | 67.3% | +8.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:05 | 0.24 | 77.1% | +2.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 19:25 | 0.72 | 67.7% | +32.3 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | −1 | 3 | 18:48 | 0.59 | 73.1% | +47.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 18:09 | 0.80 | 71.8% | +32.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 16:45 | 0.19 | 75.6% | +17.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 15:27 | 0.70 | 82.1% | +6.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:25 | 0.00 | 79.6% | +6.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:07 | 0.42 | 69.8% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.01 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.02 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.01 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:53 | 0.00 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.10 | 92.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:47 | 0.06 | 26.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:46 | 0.10 | 33.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 2.60 | −1.4 | 60:00 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 27:04 | 0.00 | 81.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:28 | 0.03 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 21:16 | 0.22 | 39.9% | +28.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21:03 | 0.00 | 48.0% | +13.9 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 19:45 | 0.49 | 32.3% | +28.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.15 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:08 | 0.40 | 18.5% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:19 | 0.18 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.04 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:21 | 0.14 | 19.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:07 | 0.59 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:05 | 0.07 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:33 | 0.01 | 1.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:33 | 0.00 | 9.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:08 | 0.00 | 15.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 10:03 | 0.13 | 22.9% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:33 | 0.15 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 7:18 | 0.00 | 25.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 37 | 32 | 5 | .865 | 4.08 | −0.9 | 58:44 |