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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 9, 2025·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg

Dallas Stars 5, Winnipeg Jets 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 76% of the time.

WPG winsDAL wins

Dallas Stars

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Miro HeiskanenD · #4000−2427:020.3954.6%0.0
Esa LindellD · #230000121:550.0179.4%0.0
Thomas HarleyD · #550220021:520.0267.3%+8.9
Wyatt JohnstonC · #531010120:050.2477.1%+2.1
Roope HintzC · #240220719:250.7267.7%+32.3
Mikko RantanenRW · #96123−1318:480.5973.1%+47.6
Jason RobertsonLW · #211120818:090.8071.8%+32.8
Nils LundkvistD · #5112+3216:450.1975.6%+17.5
Tyler SeguinC · #91101+1515:270.7082.1%+6.8
Matt DucheneC · #95011+1015:250.0079.6%+6.8
Sam SteelC · #180110114:070.4269.8%+14.8
Radek FaksaC · #12000−1013:210.0138.4%0.0
Lian BichselD · #60000113:140.0247.2%0.0
Ilya LyubushkinD · #46000+1112:140.0166.4%0.0
Colin BlackwellC · #15000−1011:530.0028.5%0.0
Mavrik BourqueC · #22000+1111:480.1092.3%0.0
Justin HryckowianC · #49000−118:470.0626.9%0.0
Nathan BastianRW · #11000−117:460.1033.5%0.0
Jake Oettinger#29W25214.8402.60−1.460:00

Winnipeg Jets

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Josh MorrisseyD · #44000+2027:040.0081.7%0.0
Neal PionkD · #4000−1223:280.0336.3%0.0
Mark ScheifeleC · #55033+2121:160.2239.9%+28.8
Dylan DeMeloD · #20220021:030.0048.0%+13.9
Kyle ConnorLW · #81303+1619:450.4932.3%+28.8
Haydn FleuryD · #24000−1219:380.1524.0%0.0
Gabriel VilardiC · #13011−1119:080.4018.5%+15.0
Jonathan ToewsC · #190000118:190.1841.5%0.0
Alex IafalloLW · #90000116:060.0438.0%0.0
Vladislav NamestnikovC · #70000015:210.1419.3%0.0
Nino NiederreiterRW · #620000415:070.5957.9%0.0
Gustav NyquistRW · #140000214:050.0746.1%0.0
Luke SchennD · #50000111:330.011.3%0.0
Logan StanleyD · #640000010:330.009.2%0.0
Nikita ChibrikovRW · #900000010:080.0015.2%0.0
Morgan BarronC · #36101−1110:030.1322.9%+0.9
Tanner PearsonLW · #70000−127:330.1563.0%0.0
Cole KoepkeLW · #45000−217:180.0025.1%0.0
Connor Hellebuyck#37L37325.8654.08−0.958:44