Mon, Oct 13, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 63% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:29Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Wedgewood
- P1 0:40Shot by Power, saved by Wedgewood
- P1 0:44Shot by Doan, saved by Wedgewood
- P1 2:06Shot by Kelly, saved by Lyon
- P1 2:52Shot by Dahlin, saved by Wedgewood
- P1 2:56Shot by Power, saved by Wedgewood
- P1 3:14Goal by MacKinnon (Necas, Burns)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, Timmins, McLeod, Krebs, Power · COL Burns, Manson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Necas
- P1 4:38Drury: Tripping (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Thompson, Danforth, McLeod, Dahlin, Byram, Quinn · COL Toews, Drury, Kiviranta, Brindley, Malinski
- P1 5:44Shot by Dahlin, saved by Wedgewood5v4
- P1 7:24Shot by Timmins, saved by Wedgewood
- P1 7:35Shot by Malinski, saved by Lyon
- P1 7:55Shot by Solovyov, saved by Lyon
- P1 8:56Colton: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
On ice: BUF Zucker, Bryson, McLeod, Krebs, Johnson · COL Manson, Toews, Kelly, Kiviranta, Brindley
- P1 9:08Shot by Kulich, saved by Wedgewood5v4
- P1 12:19Shot by Doan, saved by Wedgewood
- P1 12:20Shot by Thompson, saved by Wedgewood
- P1 13:39Shot by Makar, saved by Lyon
- P1 13:42Dahlin: Interference (2 min)5v6
On ice: BUF Danforth, Dahlin, Byram, Quinn, Kulich · COL Nelson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar
- P1 14:41Shot by Nelson, saved by Lyon4v5
- P1 14:48Shot by Makar, saved by Lyon4v5
- P1 15:02Shot by Olofsson, saved by Lyon4v5
- P1 15:12Shot by Olofsson, saved by Lyon4v5
- P1 16:32Goal by Thompson (Tuch, Dahlin)+16 pts WP
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Doan · COL Manson, Toews, Colton, Drury, Brindley
- P1 16:48Shot by Kozak, saved by Wedgewood
- P1 18:15Makar: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Zucker, Timmins, McLeod, Krebs, Power · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar
- P1 18:20Shot by Burns, saved by Lyon5v4
- P1 19:56Shot by Doan, saved by Wedgewood5v4
- P1 0:00Period end5v4
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:21Shot by Thompson, saved by Wedgewood
- P2 2:23Shot by Bryson, saved by Wedgewood
- P2 3:33Shot by Doan, saved by Wedgewood
- P2 4:32Goal by Makar (Nichushkin)+17 pts WP
On ice: BUF Danforth, Dahlin, Byram, Quinn, Kulich · COL Nelson, Landeskog, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar
- P2 4:45Shot by Colton, saved by Lyon
- P2 4:46Shot by Toews, saved by Lyon
- P2 6:17Shot by Power, saved by Wedgewood
- P2 7:26Shot by Dahlin, saved by Wedgewood
- P2 7:37Shot by Dahlin, saved by Wedgewood
- P2 8:54Tuch: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Timmins, Doan, Power · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar
- P2 10:13Shot by Necas, saved by Lyon4v5
- P2 10:40Shot by Toews, saved by Lyon4v5
- P2 10:55Shot by Colton, saved by Lyon
- P2 11:38Burns: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Doan · COL Burns, Manson, Lehkonen, Kelly, Brindley
- P2 11:38Tuch: Embellishment (2 min)
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Doan · COL Burns, Manson, Lehkonen, Kelly, Brindley
- P2 11:59Goal by MacKinnon (Necas, Makar)4v4+16 pts WP
On ice: BUF Timmins, McLeod, Power, Kulich · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar
- P2 12:42Shot by Thompson, saved by Wedgewood4v4
- P2 13:56Shot by Malinski, saved by Lyon
- P2 14:04Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Wedgewood
- P2 14:41Shot by Byram, saved by Wedgewood
- P2 16:07Shot by Brindley, saved by Lyon
- P2 16:59Shot by Necas, saved by Lyon
- P2 17:27Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lyon
- P2 17:47Shot by Colton, saved by Lyon
- P2 18:17Shot by Kulich, saved by Wedgewood
- P2 19:05Shot by Zucker, saved by Wedgewood
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 1:58Shot by Olofsson, saved by Lyon
- P3 3:42Shot by Tuch, saved by Wedgewood
- P3 4:21Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lyon
- P3 5:01Shot by Olofsson, saved by Lyon
- P3 6:15Shot by Landeskog, saved by Lyon
- P3 6:24Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Lyon
- P3 6:27Shot by Drury, saved by Lyon
- P3 8:52Shot by Solovyov, saved by Lyon
- P3 9:27Shot by Solovyov, saved by Lyon
- P3 9:54Shot by Landeskog, saved by Lyon
- P3 10:08Dahlin: Interference (2 min)
On ice: BUF Danforth, Dahlin, Byram, Quinn, Kulich · COL Manson, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Makar
- P3 11:00Shot by Necas, saved by Lyon4v5
- P3 11:24Shot by Tuch, saved by Wedgewood4v5
- P3 12:07Shot by Kelly, saved by Lyon4v5
- P3 14:05Shot by Nelson, saved by Lyon
- P3 14:32Shot by Manson, saved by Lyon
- P3 15:53Shot by Kulich, saved by Wedgewood
- P3 16:12Timmins: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
On ice: BUF Danforth, Timmins, Quinn, Power, Kulich · COL Burns, Manson, Olofsson, Colton, Drury
- P3 16:27Shot by Makar, saved by Lyon4v5
- P3 17:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lyon4v5
- P3 18:39Shot by Kulich, saved by Wedgewood6v5
- P3 0:00Period end6v5
- P3 0:00Final6v5