Mon, Oct 13, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 63% of the time.
28%
9%
9%
55%
BUF winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Cale MakarD · #8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 25:22 | 0.39 | 63.1% | +33.5 |
 Devon ToewsD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:34 | 0.09 | 59.3% | 0.0 |
 Nathan MacKinnonC · #29 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 21:47 | 0.55 | 66.8% | +31.1 |
 Josh MansonD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:54 | 0.01 | 47.6% | 0.0 |
 Martin NecasC · #88 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 18:27 | 0.21 | 58.2% | +31.1 |
 Brent BurnsD · #84 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:17 | 0.07 | 37.2% | +14.8 |
 Artturi LehkonenLW · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:50 | 0.00 | 73.3% | 0.0 |
 Brock NelsonC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.13 | 27.7% | 0.0 |
 Valeri NichushkinRW · #13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.07 | 47.3% | +17.2 |
 Sam MalinskiD · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.04 | 58.5% | 0.0 |
 Jack DruryC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:40 | 0.28 | 63.8% | 0.0 |
 Gabriel LandeskogLW · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:35 | 0.16 | 51.9% | 0.0 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:31 | 0.29 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
 Ross ColtonC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:23 | 0.20 | 64.2% | 0.0 |
 Parker KellyC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:27 | 0.26 | 81.3% | 0.0 |
 Ilya SolovyovD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:04 | 0.14 | 50.8% | 0.0 |
 Joel KivirantaLW · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:36 | 0.00 | 48.7% | 0.0 |
 Gavin BrindleyC · #54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:06 | 0.06 | 75.3% | 0.0 |
 Scott Wedgewood#41 | W | 28 | 27 | 1 | .964 | 2.17 | +1.2 | 59:57 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27:19 | 0.19 | 42.4% | +16.1 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:59 | 0.12 | 45.6% | 0.0 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 23:24 | 0.01 | 20.3% | 0.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:14 | 0.43 | 68.1% | +16.1 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.38 | 64.2% | +16.1 |
 Conor TimminsD · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.01 | 27.2% | 0.0 |
 Justin DanforthRW · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:35 | 0.00 | 18.2% | 0.0 |
 Josh DoanRW · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 17:34 | 0.32 | 67.9% | 0.0 |
 Jiri KulichC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 16:09 | 0.44 | 21.9% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McLeodC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:09 | 0.00 | 11.8% | 0.0 |
 Jason ZuckerLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.03 | 28.5% | 0.0 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:49 | 0.00 | 21.9% | 0.0 |
 Jacob BrysonD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.07 | 63.8% | 0.0 |
 Beck MalenstynLW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:34 | 0.12 | 65.4% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.01 | 16.4% | 0.0 |
 Ryan JohnsonD · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.00 | 61.7% | 0.0 |
 Tyson KozakC · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:35 | 0.03 | 52.7% | 0.0 |
 Josh DunneC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:25 | 0.02 | 47.8% | 0.0 |
 Alex Lyon#34 | L | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 2.93 | −0.1 | 58:20 |