Mon, Oct 13, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Colorado Avalanche 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 63% of the time.
28%
9%
9%
55%
BUF winsCOL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Lehkonen–MacKinnon–Necas | Olofsson–Colton–Drury | Kelly–Kiviranta–Brindley | Nelson–Landeskog–Nichushkin | MacKinnon–Colton–Necas | Landeskog–MacKinnon–Nichushkin | Olofsson–Drury–Kiviranta | Colton–Kelly–Brindley | Toews–Makar | Burns–Manson | Solovyov–Malinski | Manson–Malinski | Manson–Solovyov | Toews–Malinski | Manson–Toews | Burns–Solovyov | Manson–Makar | Makar–Malinski | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuch–Thompson–Doan | 2:330.12–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.21 | 1:000.01–0.00 | 2:260.50–0.03 | 0:560.17–0.00 | 3:340.43–0.23 | 2:380.21–0.00 | 1:450.17–0.01 | 0:350.00–0.01 | 0:580.03–0.00 | ||||||||
| Danforth–Quinn–Kulich | 2:430.06–0.08 | 2:250.18–0.10 | 1:310.00–0.16 | 1:050.00–0.23 | 0:580.00–0.19 | 3:560.06–0.38 | 1:180.03–0.00 | 1:550.15–0.16 | 0:590.00–0.14 | |||||||||
| Zucker–McLeod–Krebs | 2:180.00–0.09 | 2:100.01–0.01 | 1:480.03–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.07 | 3:040.03–0.09 | 1:500.02–0.17 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:350.01–0.00 | |||||||||
| Malenstyn–Dunne–Kozak | 0:510.00–0.10 | 0:500.06–0.03 | 0:510.02–0.00 | 0:560.08–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 2:170.08–0.10 | 1:080.00–0.01 | 1:150.09–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 1:280.00–0.02 | 2:290.03–0.21 | 2:360.04–0.00 | 4:050.21–0.24 | 0:330.00–0.14 | 1:000.17–0.00 | 3:240.06–0.38 | 2:530.17–0.00 | 4:100.30–0.01 | 0:350.00–0.01 | 0:480.01–0.08 | 0:550.00–0.12 | 0:550.03–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.04 | ||||
| Timmins–Power | 6:330.18–0.24 | 1:220.03–0.15 | 4:090.11–0.15 | 2:290.10–0.09 | 0:430.00–0.17 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Bryson–Johnson | 2:010.18–0.03 | 1:530.02–0.16 | 0:490.37–0.02 | 1:070.00–0.07 | 2:520.39–0.16 | 1:550.00–0.01 | 2:200.19–0.16 | |||||||||||
| Timmins–Dahlin | 0:540.00–0.02 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Byram–Power | ||||||||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:450.00–0.10 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 30 | 27:19 | 0:55 | 2:09 | 3 | 3 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 30 | 25:59 | 0:52 | 2:40 | 3 | 4 |
 Cale MakarCOL | 24 | 25:22 | 1:03 | 2:22 | 1 | 4 |
 Devon ToewsCOL | 27 | 23:34 | 0:52 | 2:10 | 1 | 4 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 26 | 23:24 | 0:54 | 1:38 | 7 | 4 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 21 | 21:47 | 1:02 | 2:30 | 2 | 4 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 25 | 20:14 | 0:49 | 1:45 | 5 | 3 |
 Josh MansonCOL | 27 | 18:54 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 3 | 7 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 26 | 18:28 | 0:43 | 1:24 | 5 | 3 |
 Martin NecasCOL | 19 | 18:27 | 0:58 | 1:54 | 2 | 4 |
 Brent BurnsCOL | 25 | 18:17 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 3 | 6 |
 Conor TimminsBUF | 21 | 18:04 | 0:52 | 2:11 | 6 | 3 |
 Artturi LehkonenCOL | 20 | 17:50 | 0:54 | 1:45 | 2 | 3 |
 Justin DanforthBUF | 22 | 17:35 | 0:48 | 2:01 | 5 | 3 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 25 | 17:34 | 0:42 | 1:52 | 4 | 3 |
 Brock NelsonCOL | 21 | 16:23 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 3 | 4 |
 Jiri KulichBUF | 21 | 16:09 | 0:46 | 1:39 | 8 | 2 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 24 | 16:09 | 0:40 | 1:22 | 5 | 3 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 17 | 15:53 | 0:56 | 2:05 | 4 | 0 |
 Valeri NichushkinCOL | 22 | 15:46 | 0:43 | 1:42 | 3 | 3 |
 Sam MalinskiCOL | 18 | 15:21 | 0:51 | 2:03 | 2 | 0 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 19 | 14:49 | 0:47 | 1:47 | 6 | 2 |
 Jack DruryCOL | 19 | 13:40 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 3 | 5 |
 Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 16 | 13:35 | 0:51 | 1:42 | 3 | 1 |
 Victor OlofssonCOL | 16 | 13:31 | 0:51 | 1:27 | 4 | 2 |
 Ross ColtonCOL | 19 | 13:23 | 0:42 | 1:30 | 5 | 1 |
 Parker KellyCOL | 17 | 12:27 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 2 | 3 |
 Ilya SolovyovCOL | 14 | 12:04 | 0:52 | 1:39 | 1 | 2 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 16 | 11:50 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 0 | 6 |
 Joel KivirantaCOL | 17 | 11:36 | 0:41 | 1:09 | 3 | 0 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 18 | 11:34 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 1 | 7 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 16 | 11:07 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 3 | 1 |
 Ryan JohnsonBUF | 12 | 10:32 | 0:53 | 1:16 | 1 | 4 |
 Gavin BrindleyCOL | 12 | 10:06 | 0:51 | 1:31 | 2 | 1 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 13 | 8:35 | 0:40 | 1:06 | 1 | 4 |
 Josh DunneBUF | 9 | 6:25 | 0:43 | 1:05 | 1 | 3 |