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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 14, 2025·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Minnesota Wild 2, Dallas Stars 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 69% of the time.

DAL winsMIN wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Foligno–Hartman–TreninKaprizov–Boldy–RossiHinostroza–Ohgren–YurovEriksson Ek–Kaprizov–BoldyJohansson–Tarasenko–Eriksson EkJohansson–Boldy–RossiTarasenko–Eriksson Ek–KaprizovJohansson–Tarasenko–RossiBrodin–FaberSpurgeon–MiddletonBogosian–BuiumBogosian–SpurgeonSpurgeon–Buium
Rantanen–Hintz–Robertson2:190.04–0.011:160.00–0.000:360.12–0.000:360.00–0.124:120.19–0.161:030.19–0.001:070.00–0.00
Rantanen–Hintz–Steel1:310.08–0.001:010.03–0.000:380.00–0.000:440.00–0.001:440.10–0.001:300.04–0.000:360.09–0.000:320.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Duchene–Seguin–Hryckowian0:370.00–0.170:370.00–0.001:570.00–0.022:400.00–0.021:080.00–0.17
Duchene–Seguin–Johnston1:540.35–0.010:540.00–0.003:260.38–0.01
Blackwell–Faksa–Bastian1:300.00–0.000:490.00–0.002:060.00–0.00
Robertson–Bourque–Johnston1:180.03–0.000:580.03–0.000:540.01–0.071:000.09–0.00
Blackwell–Faksa–Bourque0:520.00–0.191:150.00–0.030:440.00–0.001:190.00–0.03
Seguin–Robertson–Johnston0:340.00–0.001:140.00–0.111:220.00–0.110:380.00–0.00
Faksa–Bastian–Hryckowian0:520.00–0.101:010.00–0.11
Seguin–Bourque–Johnston0:310.00–0.001:040.00–0.00
Faksa–Steel–Bourque0:470.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Blackwell–Steel–Bourque0:410.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Rantanen–Robertson–Johnston0:570.17–0.05
Lindell–Heiskanen1:550.38–0.004:120.09–0.520:420.04–0.001:540.12–0.001:130.13–0.111:090.04–0.002:290.12–0.116:040.57–0.122:550.09–0.40
Lundkvist–Harley1:590.02–0.172:460.00–0.000:530.00–0.001:110.12–0.021:420.00–0.125:490.14–0.161:270.00–0.172:360.00–0.11
Petrovic–Bichsel2:510.08–0.012:450.00–0.020:500.00–0.083:420.08–0.062:480.20–0.112:520.09–0.00
Lundkvist–Bichsel0:350.00–0.200:310.00–0.001:050.00–0.030:400.00–0.010:300.00–0.190:550.00–0.03
Lindell–Lundkvist0:570.00–0.000:400.00–0.001:320.00–0.00
Harley–Bichsel1:120.00–0.020:450.00–0.01
Heiskanen–Lundkvist1:000.00–0.001:240.00–0.00
Heiskanen–Bichsel0:410.04–0.000:440.00–0.000:410.04–0.000:470.00–0.00
Lindell–Bichsel1:060.00–0.190:530.00–0.19
Heiskanen–Harley0:370.00–0.111:070.00–0.11
Lindell–Harley0:350.00–0.040:440.00–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHryckowian FSeguin FDuchene FHintz FSteel FRantanen FJohnston FBourque FRobertson FFaksa FBastian FBlackwell FLundkvist DHarley DLindell DHeiskanen DBichsel DPetrovic DOettinger GTrenin FFoligno FHartman FBoldy FKaprizov FRossi FEriksson Ek FJohansson FTarasenko FHinostroza FYurov FOhgren FMiddleton DSpurgeon DFaber DBrodin DBogosian DBuium DGustavsson G
DALMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Matt BoldyMIN2025:571:182:1672
Kirill KaprizovMIN1924:421:182:2470
Esa LindellDAL2324:381:042:4046
Brock FaberMIN2423:270:591:4604
Thomas HarleyDAL2322:541:001:3833
Miro HeiskanenDAL2321:420:571:3037
Mikko RantanenDAL2621:350:501:3593
Jonas BrodinMIN2121:231:011:4713
Joel Eriksson EkMIN1921:031:062:1254
Zeev BuiumMIN1820:571:102:1251
Wyatt JohnstonDAL2520:160:491:3254
Roope HintzDAL2719:180:431:32102
Nils LundkvistDAL2218:470:511:3721
Marco RossiMIN1918:440:591:4051
Jason RobertsonDAL2518:390:451:2583
Jared SpurgeonMIN2018:270:551:3213
Lian BichselDAL2318:260:481:4424
Vladimir TarasenkoMIN1516:021:042:1253
Sam SteelDAL2215:510:431:3117
Radek FaksaDAL2215:460:431:14010
Ryan HartmanMIN1515:151:011:3922
Tyler SeguinDAL2115:020:431:3015
Marcus FolignoMIN1514:410:591:2913
Jake MiddletonMIN1814:200:481:2714
Yakov TreninMIN1414:061:002:0023
Zach BogosianMIN1413:080:561:3711
Mavrik BourqueDAL1912:540:411:1113
Colin BlackwellDAL1712:400:451:4007
Alexander PetrovicDAL1411:390:501:2402
Marcus JohanssonMIN1610:270:391:0233
Liam OhgrenMIN149:590:431:2200
Matt DucheneDAL139:450:451:2411
Vinnie HinostrozaMIN149:160:401:0610
Danila YurovMIN138:080:381:1000
Justin HryckowianDAL117:270:411:3311
Nathan BastianDAL96:390:441:2302