Wed, Oct 15, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 4, Buffalo Sabres 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 53% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 3:37Shot by Cozens, saved by Lyon
- P1 4:12Shot by Amadio, saved by Lyon
- P1 4:43Shot by Chabot, saved by Lyon
- P1 6:36Zetterlund: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Tuch, Bryson, McLeod, Dahlin, Benson · OTT Jensen, Amadio, Chabot, Zetterlund, Stützle
- P1 6:52Shot by Dahlin, saved by Meriläinen5v4
- P1 7:28Shot by Dahlin, saved by Meriläinen5v4
- P1 7:30Shot by Chabot, saved by Lyon5v4
- P1 8:01Goal by Quinn (Byram, Dahlin)5v4+14 pts WP
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Quinn · OTT Eller, Jensen, Amadio, Chabot
- P1 9:21Shot by Jensen, saved by Lyon
- P1 10:09Johnson: Interference (2 min)5v6
On ice: BUF Bryson, Krebs, Johnson, Quinn, Kulich · OTT Eller, Cousins, Lycksell, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub
- P1 13:08Shot by Eller, saved by Lyon
- P1 13:21Bryson: Delaying game (2 min)
On ice: BUF Danforth, Bryson, Byram, Quinn, Kulich · OTT Eller, Cousins, Lycksell, Sanderson, Zub
- P1 13:23Shot by Batherson, saved by Lyon4v5
- P1 16:09Goal by Stützle (Zetterlund, Spence)+18 pts WP
On ice: BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Doan, Kulich · OTT Amadio, Zetterlund, Spence, Kleven, Stützle
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:06Shot by Kozak, saved by Meriläinen
- P2 2:04Shot by Stützle, saved by Lyon
- P2 2:13Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Lyon
- P2 2:17Byram: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Benson · OTT Jensen, Amadio, Zetterlund, Sanderson, Stützle
- P2 3:49Shot by Cozens, saved by Lyon4v5
- P2 3:56Shot by Cozens, saved by Lyon4v5
- P2 3:58Goal by Sanderson (Greig, Cozens)4v5+19 pts WP
On ice: BUF Tuch, Timmins, Power, Kozak · OTT Batherson, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson, Stützle
- P2 3:58Quinn: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)
On ice: BUF Tuch, Timmins, Power, Kozak · OTT Batherson, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson, Stützle
- P2 4:29Shot by Cozens, saved by Lyon4v5
- P2 4:59Shot by Giroux, saved by Lyon4v5
- P2 5:00Shot by Pinto, saved by Lyon4v5
- P2 5:12Shot by Pinto, saved by Lyon4v5
- P2 5:39Shot by Eller, saved by Lyon4v5
- P2 5:48Tuch: Slashing (2 min)4v5
On ice: BUF Tuch, Timmins, McLeod, Dahlin · OTT Giroux, Perron, Eller, Chabot, Pinto
- P2 6:03Shot by Stützle, saved by Lyon4v5
- P2 6:42Shot by Benson, saved by Meriläinen4v5
- P2 6:46Goal by McLeod (Benson, Power)4v5+18 pts WP
On ice: BUF McLeod, Dahlin, Byram, Benson · OTT Batherson, Cozens, Greig, Sanderson, Stützle
- P2 7:20Shot by McLeod, saved by Meriläinen4v5
- P2 8:16Shot by Stützle, saved by Lyon
- P2 10:08Shot by Doan, saved by Meriläinen
- P2 10:09Shot by Doan, saved by Meriläinen
- P2 10:15Shot by Tuch, saved by Meriläinen
- P2 10:17Goal by Tuch (Bryson, Doan)+25 pts WP
On ice: BUF Tuch, Bryson, McLeod, Johnson, Doan · OTT Jensen, Chabot, Batherson, Cozens, Greig
- P2 10:32Shot by Quinn, saved by Meriläinen
- P2 11:03Pinto: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Zucker, Timmins, Krebs, Quinn, Power · OTT Giroux, Pinto, Spence, Greig, Kleven
- P2 11:03Timmins: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Zucker, Timmins, Krebs, Quinn, Power · OTT Giroux, Pinto, Spence, Greig, Kleven
- P2 11:03Giroux: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Zucker, Timmins, Krebs, Quinn, Power · OTT Giroux, Pinto, Spence, Greig, Kleven
- P2 11:03Giroux: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Zucker, Timmins, Krebs, Quinn, Power · OTT Giroux, Pinto, Spence, Greig, Kleven
- P2 11:03Krebs: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Zucker, Timmins, Krebs, Quinn, Power · OTT Giroux, Pinto, Spence, Greig, Kleven
- P2 11:13Shot by Doan, saved by Meriläinen5v4
- P2 11:46Goal by Zucker (Dahlin, Benson)5v4+12 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Doan, Benson · OTT Eller, Amadio, Sanderson, Zub
- P2 12:17Shot by Tuch, saved by Meriläinen
- P2 12:20Shot by McLeod, saved by Meriläinen
- P2 12:27Shot by McLeod, saved by Meriläinen
- P2 12:29Shot by Tuch, saved by Meriläinen
- P2 13:12Greig: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Thompson, Bryson, Johnson, Kulich, Benson · OTT Cousins, Pinto, Spence, Greig, Kleven
- P2 13:43Goal by Zucker (Doan, Thompson)5v4+6 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Doan, Benson · OTT Pinto, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub
- P2 14:46Shot by Kleven, saved by Lyon
- P2 15:40Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Lyon
- P2 16:50Shot by Timmins, saved by Meriläinen
- P2 16:53Shot by Zucker, saved by Meriläinen
- P2 16:55Shot by Krebs, saved by Meriläinen
- P2 17:47Shot by Batherson, saved by Lyon
- P2 17:49Shot by Cozens, saved by Lyon
- P2 18:40Shot by Spence, saved by Lyon
- P2 19:57Shot by Benson, saved by Meriläinen
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:40Goal by Pinto (Spence, Sanderson)+5 pts WP
On ice: BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Kulich, Benson · OTT Amadio, Pinto, Spence, Greig, Sanderson
- P3 1:15Shot by Giroux, saved by Lyon
- P3 1:45Shot by Sanderson, saved by Lyon
- P3 2:15Goal by Eller (Cousins, Spence)+13 pts WP
On ice: BUF Thompson, Timmins, Dahlin, Kulich, Benson · OTT Eller, Cousins, Lycksell, Spence, Sanderson
- P3 2:32Goal by McLeod (Tuch, Doan)+13 pts WP
On ice: BUF Tuch, Bryson, McLeod, Doan, Power · OTT Jensen, Amadio, Chabot, Pinto, Greig
- P3 3:17Goal by Quinn (Krebs, Benson)+5 pts WP
On ice: BUF Timmins, Krebs, Byram, Quinn, Benson · OTT Giroux, Zetterlund, Kleven, Stützle, Zub
- P3 4:23Shot by Kleven, saved by Lyon
- P3 4:29Shot by Stützle, saved by Lyon
- P3 5:43Shot by Dahlin, saved by Meriläinen
- P3 7:42Shot by Batherson, saved by Lyon
- P3 8:49Shot by Kleven, saved by Lyon
- P3 13:10Shot by Spence, saved by Lyon
- P3 16:03Shot by Sanderson, saved by Lyon5v6
- P3 16:44Goal by Kulich (Thompson, Benson)5v60 pts WP
On ice: BUF Thompson, Byram, Power, Kulich, Benson · OTT Perron, Batherson, Cozens, Pinto, Sanderson, Stützle
- P3 17:43Shot by Chabot, saved by Lyon
- P3 18:10Shot by Kleven, saved by Lyon
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final