Wed, Oct 15, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 4, Buffalo Sabres 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 53% of the time.
39%
8%
9%
44%
BUF winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Eller–Cousins–Lycksell | Perron–Batherson–Cozens | Amadio–Zetterlund–Stützle | Giroux–Pinto–Greig | Giroux–Zetterlund–Stützle | Amadio–Pinto–Greig | Zetterlund–Batherson–Stützle | Jensen–Chabot | Spence–Kleven | Sanderson–Zub | Spence–Sanderson | Kleven–Zub | Jensen–Kleven | Chabot–Spence | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuch–McLeod–Doan | 1:220.00–0.00 | 1:070.03–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.10 | 1:100.11–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.03 | 2:490.61–0.12 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:490.00–0.01 | ||||
| Thompson–Kulich–Benson | 1:150.02–0.19 | 1:390.00–0.00 | 1:020.01–0.14 | 1:110.00–0.13 | 1:430.00–0.00 | 1:180.01–0.00 | 0:460.02–0.14 | 1:400.00–0.32 | ||||||
| Zucker–Krebs–Quinn | 1:150.05–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.04 | 1:200.34–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.07 | 1:000.05–0.00 | 1:370.07–0.04 | 1:080.27–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.07 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||
| Tuch–Thompson–Benson | 1:140.00–0.22 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 2:090.00–0.18 | |||||||||||
| Zucker–McLeod–Doan | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.15 | 1:330.00–0.04 | |||||||||||
| Malenstyn–Danforth–Kozak | 1:100.00–0.00 | 0:390.04–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Tuch–McLeod–Kozak | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.26 | 1:240.31–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.26 | ||||||||||
| Malenstyn–Krebs–Quinn | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Malenstyn–Kozak–Kulich | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.05 | 0:460.00–0.05 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Krebs–Quinn–Kulich | 1:170.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Tuch–Malenstyn–Kozak | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Thompson–Doan–Kulich | 0:310.00–0.10 | 0:310.00–0.10 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Danforth–Krebs–Quinn | 0:350.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 1:580.00–0.00 | 2:240.00–0.28 | 2:420.00–0.50 | 2:300.31–0.05 | 1:340.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.13 | 2:530.05–0.14 | 2:490.00–0.15 | 3:540.31–0.32 | 1:490.00–0.13 | 1:140.00–0.00 | |||
| Timmins–Power | 1:410.02–0.01 | 3:200.03–0.07 | 2:360.00–0.11 | 1:280.07–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.10 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 4:230.03–0.31 | 1:450.07–0.00 | 1:520.02–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |
| Bryson–Johnson | 2:270.00–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:070.48–0.03 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Bryson–Power | 0:470.00–0.14 | 0:410.00–0.04 | 1:170.11–0.07 | 1:140.11–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.04 | 0:340.00–0.07 | 0:320.00–0.14 | |||||||
| Bryson–Dahlin | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Timmins–Byram | 1:090.16–0.02 | 0:300.00–0.03 | 1:010.00–0.03 | 1:010.00–0.02 | ||||||||||
| Bryson–Byram | 0:440.00–0.14 | 0:300.00–0.26 | 0:590.00–0.32 | |||||||||||
| Byram–Power | 0:590.31–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Timmins–Dahlin | 1:050.05–0.19 | 0:390.05–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.19 | |||||||||||
| Byram–Johnson | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Bowen ByramBUF | 30 | 25:54 | 0:52 | 2:17 | 1 | 7 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 31 | 25:52 | 0:50 | 2:29 | 3 | 7 |
 Conor TimminsBUF | 30 | 24:36 | 0:49 | 2:05 | 0 | 7 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 32 | 23:44 | 0:45 | 1:41 | 0 | 6 |
 Jake SandersonOTT | 28 | 22:07 | 0:47 | 2:04 | 9 | 4 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 30 | 21:56 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 4 | 0 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 25 | 21:12 | 0:51 | 2:11 | 9 | 1 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 28 | 20:00 | 0:43 | 1:57 | 0 | 8 |
 Jordan SpenceOTT | 25 | 17:59 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 8 | 0 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 24 | 17:44 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 5 | 2 |
 Lars EllerOTT | 22 | 17:36 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 5 | 1 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 28 | 17:28 | 0:37 | 1:08 | 0 | 7 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 24 | 17:27 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 6 | 0 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 23 | 16:52 | 0:44 | 1:48 | 1 | 4 |
 David PerronOTT | 25 | 16:50 | 0:40 | 1:11 | 5 | 0 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 24 | 16:46 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 3 | 5 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 22 | 16:25 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 5 | 2 |
 Nick JensenOTT | 26 | 16:11 | 0:37 | 1:05 | 2 | 0 |
 Dylan CozensOTT | 24 | 15:59 | 0:40 | 1:15 | 6 | 0 |
 Tyler KlevenOTT | 23 | 15:58 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 3 | 0 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 22 | 15:49 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 1 | 4 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 20 | 15:41 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 8 | 1 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 20 | 14:40 | 0:44 | 1:51 | 0 | 3 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 24 | 14:40 | 0:37 | 0:58 | 2 | 4 |
 Fabian ZetterlundOTT | 20 | 14:38 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 8 | 0 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 21 | 13:55 | 0:40 | 1:03 | 3 | 3 |
 Jiri KulichBUF | 21 | 13:45 | 0:39 | 1:08 | 1 | 4 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 22 | 13:43 | 0:37 | 1:05 | 5 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 18 | 12:52 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 1 | 3 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 22 | 12:47 | 0:35 | 1:10 | 0 | 4 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 16 | 12:10 | 0:46 | 1:53 | 0 | 3 |
 Olle LycksellOTT | 16 | 11:59 | 0:45 | 1:45 | 4 | 0 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 15 | 11:43 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 3 | 2 |
 Nick CousinsOTT | 17 | 11:10 | 0:39 | 1:45 | 3 | 0 |
 Justin DanforthBUF | 10 | 6:14 | 0:37 | 1:00 | 0 | 2 |
 Ryan JohnsonBUF | 9 | 5:12 | 0:35 | 1:14 | 0 | 1 |