Wed, Oct 15, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 4, Buffalo Sabres 8
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 53% of the time.
39%
8%
9%
44%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22:07 | 0.34 | 82.3% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:56 | 0.11 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 21:12 | 0.69 | 71.4% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 17:59 | 0.07 | 91.8% | +36.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:44 | 0.33 | 33.3% | +5.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:36 | 0.43 | 84.1% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 17:27 | 0.23 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:50 | 0.00 | 95.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.04 | 28.6% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.04 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 5 | 15:59 | 0.57 | 51.8% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:58 | 0.01 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.26 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:40 | 0.00 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:38 | 0.22 | 68.8% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.18 | 89.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:59 | 0.00 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:10 | 0.00 | 84.1% | +13.2 |
| L | 26 | 19 | 7 | .731 | 2.60 | −4.4 | 58:06 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 25:54 | 0.00 | 35.9% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 3 | 25:52 | 0.16 | 26.2% | +26.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:36 | 0.03 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 23:44 | 0.05 | 43.7% | +17.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 20:00 | 0.54 | 53.6% | +38.2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 17:28 | 0.38 | 62.3% | +30.9 | |
| 0 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.21 | 19.7% | +34.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 0 | 16:46 | 0.05 | 7.0% | +5.6 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 15:49 | 0.40 | 42.8% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:40 | 0.04 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 13:55 | 0.25 | 61.7% | +43.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.79 | 3.0% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:52 | 0.21 | 57.1% | +4.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 12:47 | 0.01 | 44.7% | +25.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.00 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:43 | 0.27 | 49.3% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:14 | 0.00 | 18.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 5:12 | 0.00 | 91.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 33 | 4 | .892 | 3.54 | −0.5 | 60:00 |