Thu, Oct 16, 2025·Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Winnipeg Jets 5, Philadelphia Flyers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 53% of the time.
42%
11%
11%
36%
PHI winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 24:21 | 0.01 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 0 | 23:17 | 0.00 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:26 | 0.00 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:03 | 0.06 | 74.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 18:47 | 0.01 | 24.3% | +20.3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 18:44 | 0.22 | 11.7% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:46 | 0.00 | 11.6% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:51 | 0.05 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:45 | 0.00 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:59 | 0.00 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.38 | 58.1% | +15.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:20 | 0.19 | 54.8% | +15.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.49 | 56.3% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.28 | 49.0% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:03 | 0.00 | 55.7% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:27 | 0.00 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:18 | 0.11 | 78.7% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:55 | 0.10 | 78.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 17 | 15 | 2 | .882 | 2.07 | +0.1 | 60:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 24:35 | 0.00 | 62.3% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:08 | 0.15 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:32 | 0.00 | 81.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:05 | 0.00 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:51 | 0.00 | 39.8% | +0.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:48 | 0.13 | 41.5% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:12 | 0.40 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:38 | 0.00 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.01 | 70.4% | +16.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:20 | 0.20 | 80.5% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:09 | 0.56 | 86.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.19 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:16 | 0.39 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.00 | 4.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:37 | 0.00 | 5.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:00 | 0.01 | 34.9% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:40 | 0.00 | 6.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.03 | 6.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 14 | 10 | 4 | .714 | 1.43 | −2.6 | 58:58 |