Thu, Oct 16, 2025·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Colorado Avalanche 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 89% of the time.
85%
CBJ winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:49 | 0.12 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 23:19 | 0.33 | 69.0% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:54 | 0.02 | 69.2% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:51 | 0.03 | 58.1% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.17 | 46.7% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:24 | 0.69 | 64.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.41 | 61.7% | +25.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 17:21 | 1.18 | 80.6% | +17.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:46 | 0.35 | 80.6% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:39 | 0.12 | 94.5% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:07 | 0.00 | 79.2% | +0.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.09 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:41 | 0.05 | 85.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 12:57 | 0.59 | 82.0% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:09 | 0.34 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:09 | 0.24 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:29 | 0.00 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:20 | 0.04 | 76.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 22 | 1 | .957 | 1.94 | +0.9 | 60:00 |
Columbus Blue Jackets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26:25 | 0.19 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 24:56 | 0.06 | 14.1% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:12 | 0.01 | 19.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:00 | 0.00 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 19:45 | 0.17 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:30 | 0.06 | 11.4% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:04 | 0.01 | 10.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:12 | 0.17 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:08 | 0.13 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:02 | 0.26 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:13 | 0.25 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.03 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:47 | 0.26 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:17 | 0.14 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.00 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:00 | 0.00 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:48 | 0.18 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:38 | 0.02 | 25.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 3.68 | +0.7 | 58:30 |