Thu, Oct 16, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Boston Bruins 5, Vegas Golden Knights 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 88% of the time.
84%
VGK winsBOS wins
Boston Bruins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27:20 | 0.03 | 43.7% | +14.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 22:26 | 0.37 | 49.8% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:43 | 0.00 | 46.3% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:34 | 0.18 | 58.8% | +13.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:31 | 0.05 | 69.4% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:06 | 0.04 | 31.6% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:54 | 0.00 | 10.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 17:47 | 0.49 | 65.1% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.03 | 51.7% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:13 | 0.01 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.05 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.33 | 57.2% | +4.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 11:50 | 0.00 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:32 | 0.02 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.04 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:41 | 0.36 | 72.7% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:27 | 0.06 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 10:13 | 0.07 | 60.8% | +27.5 |
| L | 37 | 31 | 6 | .838 | 4.73 | −1.3 | 59:01 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 24:11 | 0.99 | 50.7% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:25 | 0.01 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:01 | 0.12 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 22:30 | 0.80 | 67.5% | +49.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 21:07 | 0.25 | 65.7% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:59 | 0.00 | 59.2% | +14.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:09 | 0.80 | 73.7% | +27.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.00 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.00 | 42.9% | +22.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 16:08 | 0.88 | 73.8% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:28 | 0.17 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 15:17 | 0.49 | 38.4% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:22 | 0.18 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:18 | 0.03 | 63.1% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:15 | 0.17 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.00 | 46.7% | +16.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:41 | 0.10 | 32.9% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:19 | 0.04 | 10.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 19 | 5 | .792 | 2.13 | −2.9 | 60:00 |