Thu, Oct 16, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Los Angeles Kings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 57% of the time.
35%
9%
9%
48%
LAK winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:00 | 0.13 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:25 | 0.01 | 50.8% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:11 | 1.02 | 52.3% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 19:52 | 0.01 | 71.1% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.01 | 68.9% | +18.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:37 | 0.18 | 40.2% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:50 | 0.00 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:36 | 0.00 | 22.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:15 | 0.46 | 39.4% | +5.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:01 | 0.13 | 22.1% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:50 | 0.19 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:15 | 0.28 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:56 | 0.16 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:38 | 0.12 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 0.21 | 56.8% | +23.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:09 | 0.09 | 72.4% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.09 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:01 | 0.13 | 50.1% | +24.4 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 2.80 | +0.8 | 60:00 |
Los Angeles Kings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:50 | 0.06 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:53 | 0.01 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:11 | 0.00 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 18:56 | 0.61 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:42 | 0.00 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:38 | 0.00 | 53.8% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18:06 | 0.56 | 53.9% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.03 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:38 | 0.13 | 44.5% | +12.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.41 | 51.3% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:11 | 0.07 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:43 | 0.00 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:45 | 0.07 | 57.9% | +12.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 15:22 | 0.50 | 48.4% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 14:30 | 0.25 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:16 | 0.11 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:13 | 0.00 | 6.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:08 | 0.00 | 56.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.75 | −0.2 | 58:53 |