Sat, Oct 18, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Florida Panthers 0, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 63% of the time.
29%
8%
8%
55%
BUF winsFLA wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Verhaeghe–Reinhart–Bennett | Marchand–Luostarinen–Lundell | Greer–Kunin–Gadjovich | Rodrigues–Boqvist–Samoskevich | Ekblad–Forsling | Petry–Balinskis | Jones–Balinskis | Jones–Mikkola | Jones–Forsling | Ekblad–Balinskis | Petry–Forsling | Petry–Jones | Jones–Ekblad | Forsling–Balinskis | Ekblad–Mikkola | Petry–Ekblad | Forsling–Mikkola | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompson–Kulich–Benson | 2:280.07–0.12 | 3:040.20–0.01 | 2:060.08–0.00 | 0:530.12–0.05 | 2:510.07–0.05 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:440.32–0.06 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.07 | 1:050.27–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Zucker–Krebs–Quinn | 3:410.19–0.20 | 1:120.26–0.00 | 0:350.01–0.00 | 1:500.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.01 | 1:170.13–0.00 | 2:230.00–0.16 | 1:380.32–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:470.00–0.21 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:360.01–0.00 | |||||
| Tuch–McLeod–Doan | 1:100.02–0.01 | 1:490.07–0.03 | 0:580.08–0.00 | 2:320.00–0.10 | 2:020.03–0.10 | 1:180.00–0.14 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:150.09–0.01 | 0:560.04–0.03 | ||||||||
| Geertsen–Malenstyn–Kozak | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Tuch–Krebs–Doan | 0:360.00–0.11 | 0:310.00–0.10 | |||||||||||||||
| Tuch–McLeod–Quinn | 0:310.00–0.14 | ||||||||||||||||
| Timmins–Byram | 2:390.01–0.18 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:430.00–0.00 | 1:170.04–0.00 | 1:380.01–0.00 | 2:350.04–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.18 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Timmins–Power | 1:500.13–0.00 | 1:230.28–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:150.08–0.00 | 1:240.13–0.14 | 1:160.20–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Samuelsson–Power | 1:220.06–0.01 | 1:360.04–0.03 | 0:310.07–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:020.06–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.11 | 0:400.04–0.03 | ||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 0:540.07–0.08 | 1:080.21–0.11 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.01 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:230.07–0.04 | |||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Byram | 1:130.01–0.02 | 0:420.26–0.00 | 0:370.15–0.00 | 0:410.26–0.00 | 0:490.02–0.01 | 0:410.14–0.00 | 0:330.21–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Byram–Power | 0:410.03–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:080.03–0.05 | 0:560.00–0.14 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.10 | ||||||||||
| Timmins–Dahlin | 1:070.00–0.06 | 0:510.08–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.05 | 0:470.00–0.05 | 0:400.11–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.06 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 0:330.08–0.00 | 1:190.12–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.01 | 0:460.12–0.00 | 0:430.08–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:330.02–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.01 | 0:390.00–0.10 | 0:400.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Conor TimminsBUF | 35 | 24:30 | 0:42 | 1:38 | 1 | 9 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 32 | 24:17 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 2 | 7 |
 Seth JonesFLA | 30 | 23:48 | 0:48 | 1:39 | 5 | 3 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 34 | 23:44 | 0:42 | 1:22 | 4 | 9 |
 Sam ReinhartFLA | 24 | 23:33 | 0:59 | 2:11 | 10 | 3 |
 Aaron EkbladFLA | 26 | 23:07 | 0:53 | 2:23 | 5 | 5 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 34 | 22:36 | 0:40 | 1:22 | 2 | 6 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 29 | 22:01 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 5 | 6 |
 Gustav ForslingFLA | 29 | 21:06 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 3 | 6 |
 Carter VerhaegheFLA | 23 | 20:54 | 0:55 | 1:40 | 8 | 1 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 29 | 20:22 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 1 | 7 |
 Sam BennettFLA | 23 | 19:08 | 0:50 | 2:23 | 8 | 2 |
 Uvis BalinskisFLA | 24 | 18:53 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 7 | 2 |
 Anton LundellFLA | 23 | 18:30 | 0:48 | 1:51 | 8 | 5 |
 Jeff PetryFLA | 25 | 18:16 | 0:44 | 1:16 | 8 | 2 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 30 | 18:15 | 0:37 | 1:05 | 1 | 8 |
 Mackie SamoskevichFLA | 23 | 17:46 | 0:46 | 1:41 | 5 | 1 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 23 | 17:25 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 4 | 5 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 22 | 16:20 | 0:45 | 1:20 | 4 | 1 |
 Jiri KulichBUF | 24 | 15:37 | 0:39 | 1:02 | 3 | 6 |
 Brad MarchandFLA | 23 | 15:37 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 8 | 4 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 24 | 15:34 | 0:39 | 1:21 | 4 | 6 |
 Evan RodriguesFLA | 21 | 15:33 | 0:44 | 1:48 | 1 | 1 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 20 | 14:39 | 0:44 | 1:40 | 6 | 0 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 18 | 14:25 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 3 | 0 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 21 | 13:55 | 0:40 | 1:20 | 5 | 1 |
 Eetu LuostarinenFLA | 19 | 12:30 | 0:39 | 1:05 | 5 | 5 |
 Luke KuninFLA | 16 | 10:47 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 4 | 5 |
 Jesper BoqvistFLA | 17 | 10:44 | 0:38 | 1:16 | 0 | 1 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 14 | 9:47 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 1 | 5 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 13 | 9:23 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 0 | 5 |
 Jonah GadjovichFLA | 14 | 9:14 | 0:40 | 1:01 | 3 | 4 |
 A.J. GreerFLA | 14 | 9:12 | 0:39 | 1:18 | 3 | 4 |
 Niko MikkolaFLA | 11 | 6:53 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 1 | 1 |
 Mason GeertsenBUF | 5 | 2:06 | 0:25 | 0:39 | 1 | 3 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 1 | 1:16 | 1:16 | 1:16 | 0 | 0 |