Sat, Oct 18, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
New York Islanders 5, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 50% of the time.
41%
8%
8%
42%
OTT winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:33 | 0.09 | 53.6% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:32 | 0.09 | 50.3% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:12 | 0.03 | 81.7% | +34.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:57 | 0.32 | 73.2% | +24.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.29 | 30.1% | +34.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:48 | 0.11 | 82.9% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:47 | 0.00 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:30 | 0.16 | 30.1% | +34.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:37 | 0.47 | 73.7% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:22 | 0.07 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 13:25 | 0.65 | 69.7% | +93.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:24 | 0.35 | 71.2% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:22 | 0.40 | 62.3% | +39.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.03 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.19 | 62.3% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.05 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:49 | 0.00 | 21.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.34 | −0.7 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 24:15 | 0.05 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.02 | 64.6% | +32.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:20 | 0.33 | 58.2% | +58.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:57 | 0.09 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 18:41 | 0.60 | 60.3% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:15 | 0.09 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:08 | 0.27 | 40.4% | +29.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:26 | 0.03 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:24 | 0.29 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.15 | 43.2% | +42.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:32 | 0.01 | 64.7% | +28.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:03 | 0.00 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.36 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:10 | 0.03 | 12.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 12:35 | 0.55 | 13.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 12:27 | 0.06 | 17.9% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:22 | 0.05 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10:03 | 0.38 | 54.1% | +19.2 |
| L | 23 | 18 | 5 | .783 | 3.02 | −2.0 | 58:50 |