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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 18, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

New York Islanders 5, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 50% of the time.

OTT winsNYI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NYI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Palmieri–Duclair–BarzalDrouin–Horvat–HeinemanCizikas–MacLean–HolmstromLee–Pageau–ShabanovMayfield–SchaeferPelech–PulockDeAngelo–Boqvist
Amadio–Pinto–Greig8:170.59–0.152:280.10–0.071:290.00–0.005:020.54–0.08
Perron–Batherson–Cozens1:000.00–0.003:450.14–0.400:400.00–0.003:100.14–0.271:410.00–0.00
Eller–Cousins–Zetterlund0:490.01–0.162:510.05–0.011:360.00–0.001:170.00–0.011:030.00–0.003:110.06–0.16
Batherson–Cozens–Stützle2:330.09–0.181:140.00–0.001:080.13–0.000:540.21–0.003:340.00–0.16
Giroux–Kaliyev–Stützle0:340.50–0.003:190.15–0.482:190.15–0.111:400.02–0.370:360.50–0.00
Giroux–Eller–Zetterlund0:580.00–0.141:130.00–0.171:130.00–0.170:370.00–0.14
Perron–Eller–Kaliyev1:540.00–0.081:140.00–0.030:310.00–0.05
Giroux–Zetterlund–Stützle1:030.03–0.001:130.00–0.00
Cousins–Amadio–Pinto0:430.00–0.080:390.02–0.000:370.00–0.000:310.02–0.00
Giroux–Zetterlund–Greig0:570.00–0.000:550.00–0.00
Spence–Kleven1:070.50–0.004:530.07–0.067:090.03–0.605:540.05–0.243:340.00–0.423:380.55–0.00
Sanderson–Zub6:110.13–0.164:130.16–0.410:520.05–0.001:100.13–0.053:300.26–0.054:030.00–0.244:540.21–0.22
Jensen–Chabot4:120.34–0.074:520.11–0.253:090.00–0.030:390.13–0.004:230.31–0.315:060.02–0.023:190.26–0.00
Spence–Sanderson1:140.14–0.060:580.00–0.000:320.00–0.061:020.00–0.190:570.14–0.00
Chabot–Zub1:070.09–0.160:300.20–0.000:380.00–0.16
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPinto FAmadio FGreig FCozens FPerron FBatherson FStützle FGiroux FKaliyev FEller FCousins FZetterlund FZub DSanderson DJensen DChabot DKleven DSpence DUllmark GDuclair FBarzal FPalmieri FHeineman FDrouin FHorvat FLee FPageau FShabanov FCizikas FHolmstrom FMacLean FPelech DPulock DBoqvist DDeAngelo DMayfield DSchaefer DSorokin G
OTTNYIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jake SandersonOTT2724:150:542:1134
Matthew SchaeferNYI2622:330:522:1924
Scott MayfieldNYI2520:320:491:4525
Adam PelechNYI3120:120:391:1727
Bo HorvatNYI2319:570:522:0813
Thomas ChabotOTT2619:470:461:1430
Tim StützleOTT2119:200:552:3022
Kyle PalmieriNYI2418:590:472:0253
Artem ZubOTT2618:570:441:3213
Ryan PulockNYI3118:480:361:1827
Tony DeAngeloNYI2418:470:471:3120
Shane PintoOTT2518:410:452:0814
Mathew BarzalNYI2118:300:532:0241
Jordan SpenceOTT2318:150:481:2322
Dylan CozensOTT2118:080:521:2650
Tyler KlevenOTT2417:260:441:2422
Ridly GreigOTT2217:240:471:5423
Drake BathersonOTT2017:110:521:5140
Jonathan DrouinNYI2016:370:502:0223
Nick JensenOTT2416:320:411:1230
Claude GirouxOTT2416:030:401:1633
Anthony DuclairNYI1915:220:491:2232
Adam BoqvistNYI2015:100:461:1610
Michael AmadioOTT2114:340:421:2223
Anders LeeNYI1813:250:451:3412
Emil HeinemanNYI1913:240:421:1903
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2013:220:401:2313
Simon HolmstromNYI1613:110:491:3632
Fabian ZetterlundOTT1813:100:441:2031
Maxim ShabanovNYI1712:430:451:2512
Kyle MacLeanNYI1412:420:541:3831
Lars EllerOTT1612:350:471:1530
David PerronOTT1612:270:471:2040
Casey CizikasNYI1511:490:471:3431
Nick CousinsOTT1510:220:411:1321
Arthur KaliyevOTT1210:030:501:3531