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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 18, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

New York Islanders 5, Ottawa Senators 4

Away

New York Islanders

5

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 50% of the time.

OTT winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:13Shot by Duclair, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 1:51Shot by Pulock, saved by Ullmark
  4. P1 1:53Shot by Pageau, saved by Ullmark
  5. P1 3:06Shot by Greig, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 3:17Shot by Batherson, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 5:24Shot by Kaliyev, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 5:26Shot by Spence, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 5:28Shot by Stützle, saved by Sorokin
  10. P1 5:29Shot by Kaliyev, saved by Sorokin
  11. P1 8:25Shot by Drouin, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 10:28Shot by Pinto, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 12:23Shot by Kleven, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 14:19Shot by Eller, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 15:04Heineman: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Greig, Stützle · NYI Mayfield, Drouin, Horvat, Heineman, Schaefer

  16. P1 17:01Goal by Perron (Chabot, Kaliyev)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Perron, Chabot, Kaliyev, Pinto · NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock

  17. P1 17:21Shot by Pinto, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 17:58Cousins: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Eller, Cousins, Zetterlund, Spence, Kleven · NYI Lee, Mayfield, Horvat, Schaefer, Shabanov

  19. P1 18:19Shot by Schaefer, saved by Ullmark4v5
  20. P1 18:29Zub: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub · NYI Palmieri, Drouin, Horvat, Barzal, Schaefer

  21. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:41Shot by Zub, saved by Sorokin
  24. P2 0:43Shot by Greig, saved by Sorokin
  25. P2 1:01Shot by Chabot, saved by Sorokin
  26. P2 2:56Shot by Horvat, saved by Ullmark
  27. P2 3:51Shot by Lee, saved by Ullmark
  28. P2 3:52Shot by Lee, saved by Ullmark
  29. P2 4:36Shot by Mayfield, saved by Ullmark
  30. P2 5:32Goal by Pinto (Batherson, Chabot)6v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Batherson, Pinto, Greig · NYI Palmieri, Mayfield, Duclair, Barzal, Schaefer

  31. P2 6:02Shot by Cousins, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 6:50Goal by Heineman (Drouin, Mayfield)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Perron, Jensen, Chabot, Batherson, Cozens · NYI Mayfield, Drouin, Horvat, Heineman, Schaefer

  33. P2 7:03Shot by Pageau, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 7:21Shot by Stützle, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 9:29Shot by Heineman, saved by Ullmark
  36. P2 9:57Goal by Horvat (Pulock, Lee)+25 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Cousins, Zetterlund, Cozens, Sanderson, Zub · NYI Lee, Pelech, Drouin, Horvat, Pulock

  37. P2 10:44Shot by Eller, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 11:22Shot by Palmieri, saved by Ullmark
  39. P2 11:35Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Sorokin
  40. P2 12:41Cizikas: Delaying game bench (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Perron, Batherson, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · NYI Cizikas, Horvat, Pulock, MacLean, Holmstrom

  41. P2 13:42Shot by Pageau, saved by Ullmark5v4
  42. P2 13:51Shot by Pinto, saved by Sorokin5v4
  43. P2 13:57Shot by Pinto, saved by Sorokin5v4
  44. P2 14:23Shot by Kaliyev, saved by Sorokin5v4
  45. P2 14:33Shot by Eller, saved by Sorokin5v4
  46. P2 14:34Shot by Eller, saved by Sorokin5v4
  47. P2 16:46Goal by Stützle (Jensen, Batherson)+28 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Jensen, Chabot, Batherson, Cozens, Stützle · NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Schaefer, Shabanov

  48. P2 17:45Goal by Lee (Shabanov, Schaefer)+29 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Eller, Zetterlund, Spence, Kleven · NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Schaefer, Shabanov

  49. P2 18:47Goal by Cozens (Stützle)+30 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Chabot, Cozens, Stützle, Zub · NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Pulock, MacLean, Holmstrom

  50. P2 19:28Shot by Amadio, saved by Sorokin
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:59Zetterlund: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Zetterlund, Spence, Greig, Kleven · NYI Lee, Pageau, DeAngelo, Boqvist, Shabanov

  54. P3 2:23Schaefer: Penalty shot tripping on breakaway (0 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub · NYI Palmieri, Drouin, Horvat, Barzal, Schaefer

  55. P3 2:23Shot by Pinto, saved by Sorokinother
  56. P3 4:46Shot by MacLean, saved by Ullmark
  57. P3 5:30Shot by Mayfield, saved by Ullmark
  58. P3 6:00Goal by Palmieri (Barzal, Pelech)+34 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Cousins, Amadio, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub · NYI Palmieri, Pelech, Duclair, DeAngelo, Barzal

  59. P3 7:03Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Ullmark
  60. P3 8:15Shot by Amadio, saved by Sorokin
  61. P3 8:38Shot by Zub, saved by Sorokin
  62. P3 12:08Shot by Zub, saved by Sorokin
  63. P3 12:31Shot by Greig, saved by Sorokin
  64. P3 12:58Shot by Schaefer, saved by Ullmark
  65. P3 14:28Shot by Drouin, saved by Ullmark
  66. P3 18:57Goal by Lee (Pageau)+40 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Perron, Amadio, Pinto, Spence, Sanderson · NYI Palmieri, Lee, Pelech, Pulock, Barzal

  67. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  68. P3 0:00Final6v5