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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 18, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Seattle Kraken 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (OT)

Away

Seattle Kraken

4

Final

Overtime

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 51% of the time.

TOR winsSEA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:36Shot by Larsson, saved by Stolarz
  3. P1 4:52Shot by Eberle, saved by Stolarz
  4. P1 5:38Roy: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Joshua, Roy, Lorentz, Benoit · SEA Oleksiak, Hayden, Marchment, Lindgren, Nyman

  5. P1 5:59Shot by Stephenson, saved by Stolarz4v5
  6. P1 7:26Shot by Schwartz, saved by Stolarz4v5
  7. P1 7:29Goal by Wright (Schwartz, Marchment)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Joshua, Carlo, Lorentz, Benoit · SEA Schwartz, Marchment, Fleury, Tolvanen, Wright

  8. P1 7:33Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Stolarz
  9. P1 8:48Shot by Cowan, saved by Daccord
  10. P1 8:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Daccord
  11. P1 8:58Dunn: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Carlo, Matthews, Knies, Cowan · SEA Larsson, Dunn, Marchment, Winterton, Wright

  12. P1 9:30Shot by Rielly, saved by Daccord5v4
  13. P1 9:47Shot by Matthews, saved by Daccord5v4
  14. P1 10:58Shot by Stephenson, saved by Stolarz
  15. P1 11:54Shot by Lorentz, saved by Daccord
  16. P1 13:29Shot by Dunn, saved by Stolarz
  17. P1 14:17Shot by Tanev, saved by Daccord
  18. P1 14:22Shot by Rielly, saved by Daccord
  19. P1 14:56Goal by Rielly (Matthews, Knies)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Nylander, Carlo, Matthews, Knies · SEA Eberle, Oleksiak, McCann, Lindgren, Beniers

  20. P1 16:16Shot by Robertson, saved by Daccord
  21. P1 16:44McMann: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Matthews, Benoit, Robertson, McMann · SEA Schwartz, Stephenson, Mahura, Fleury, Tolvanen

  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 2:58Shot by Hayden, saved by Stolarz
  25. P2 3:17Shot by Rielly, saved by Daccord
  26. P2 3:24Shot by Carlo, saved by Daccord
  27. P2 4:03Shot by Cowan, saved by Daccord
  28. P2 4:04Dunn: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Matthews, Knies, Cowan · SEA Schwartz, Larsson, Stephenson, Dunn, Tolvanen

  29. P2 4:07Shot by Matthews, saved by Daccord5v4
  30. P2 4:57Shot by Rielly, saved by Daccord5v4
  31. P2 7:30Shot by Marchment, saved by Stolarz
  32. P2 8:02Shot by Fleury, saved by Stolarz
  33. P2 8:59Shot by Joshua, saved by Daccord
  34. P2 9:24Shot by Schwartz, saved by Stolarz
  35. P2 11:03Shot by Larsson, saved by Stolarz
  36. P2 11:46Shot by Eberle, saved by Stolarz
  37. P2 14:19Goal by Nyman (Marchment, Wright)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Benoit, Robertson, McMann · SEA Larsson, Dunn, Marchment, Nyman, Wright

  38. P2 15:47Shot by Larsson, saved by Stolarz
  39. P2 15:57Shot by Maccelli, saved by Daccord
  40. P2 16:01Goal by Tavares (Nylander)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Benoit, Maccelli · SEA Schwartz, Larsson, Stephenson, Dunn, Tolvanen

  41. P2 17:24Shot by Domi, saved by Daccord
  42. P2 17:44Goal by Dunn (Tolvanen, Stephenson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Domi, Carlo, Robertson, McMann · SEA Schwartz, Larsson, Stephenson, Dunn, Tolvanen

  43. P2 19:05Marchment: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, McCabe, Nylander, Carlo, Maccelli · SEA Larsson, Dunn, Marchment, Nyman, Wright

  44. P2 19:33Shot by Nylander, saved by Daccord5v4
  45. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:08Shot by Robertson, saved by Daccord
  48. P3 1:17Lindgren: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Domi, Robertson, McMann · SEA McCann, Marchment, Lindgren, Mahura, Beniers

  49. P3 1:18Shot by Nylander, saved by Daccord5v4
  50. P3 1:21Goal by Tavares (Nylander)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Knies · SEA Larsson, Oleksiak, Stephenson, Kartye

  51. P3 1:38Shot by Tanev, saved by Daccord
  52. P3 1:51Shot by Carlo, saved by Daccord
  53. P3 2:00Shot by Schwartz, saved by Stolarz
  54. P3 2:41Shot by Wright, saved by Stolarz
  55. P3 2:54Shot by Marchment, saved by Stolarz
  56. P3 4:15Shot by Mahura, saved by Stolarz
  57. P3 4:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Daccord
  58. P3 6:02Shot by Tanev, saved by Daccord
  59. P3 7:59Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Daccord
  60. P3 9:23Shot by Cowan, saved by Daccord
  61. P3 11:17Shot by Nyman, saved by Stolarz
  62. P3 11:24Shot by Beniers, saved by Stolarz
  63. P3 11:34Shot by Larsson, saved by Stolarz
  64. P3 16:25Shot by Lorentz, saved by Daccord
  65. P3 19:56Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Daccord
  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. OT 0:00Period start
  68. OT 2:10Shot by Wright, saved by Stolarz3v3
  69. OT 2:23Shot by Wright, saved by Stolarz3v3
  70. OT 2:35Shot by Wright, saved by Stolarz3v3
  71. OT 3:06Goal by Mahura (Eberle, Stephenson)3v3+49 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Nylander, Matthews · SEA Eberle, Stephenson, Mahura

  72. OT 3:06Period end3v3
  73. OT 3:06Final4v4