Sat, Oct 18, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Seattle Kraken 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 51% of the time.
39%
10%
11%
40%
TOR winsSEA wins
Seattle Kraken
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 27:43 | 0.16 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 27:24 | 0.02 | 47.2% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:44 | 0.02 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:14 | 0.15 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.17 | 43.0% | +69.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:50 | 0.04 | 38.9% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.02 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:08 | 0.00 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.43 | 36.4% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 16:04 | 0.49 | 41.9% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:50 | 0.04 | 38.4% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.17 | 45.0% | +20.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:06 | 0.24 | 2.4% | +49.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:23 | 0.14 | 70.8% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:45 | 0.01 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.03 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:56 | 0.05 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:41 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.19 | −0.8 | 63:06 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 24:13 | 0.20 | 44.9% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:05 | 0.41 | 46.3% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:59 | 0.00 | 50.9% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:48 | 0.08 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:32 | 0.06 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:57 | 0.12 | 52.9% | +40.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:51 | 0.04 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.11 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:11 | 0.10 | 92.8% | +40.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:22 | 0.00 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.00 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.36 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:16 | 0.07 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:02 | 0.07 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.00 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:48 | 0.29 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:18 | 0.17 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:38 | 0.10 | 86.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.18 | −1.8 | 63:06 |