Sun, Oct 19, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Edmonton Oilers 2, Detroit Red Wings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 64% of the time.
54%
10%
10%
26%
DET winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 23:07 | 0.17 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:04 | 0.12 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:15 | 0.09 | 11.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:33 | 0.34 | 60.0% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 19:59 | 0.23 | 48.7% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 19:13 | 0.00 | 67.4% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:51 | 0.00 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:31 | 0.07 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:42 | 0.18 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:11 | 0.05 | 54.4% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:00 | 0.03 | 7.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.00 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.25 | 45.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.02 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:26 | 0.07 | 24.1% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:00 | 0.12 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.05 | 9.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:43 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.01 | −1.0 | 59:44 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:45 | 0.02 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:03 | 0.06 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:01 | 0.00 | 47.6% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.04 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 19:25 | 0.91 | 42.5% | +31.5 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 2 | 19:11 | 0.15 | 43.0% | +55.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 17:20 | 0.00 | 43.8% | +29.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:58 | 0.12 | 84.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:38 | 0.03 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.01 | 69.3% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:12 | 0.35 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.03 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.08 | 97.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.07 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.06 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:44 | 0.14 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:36 | 0.27 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:22 | 0.19 | 58.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 1.80 | −0.2 | 60:00 |