Mon, Oct 20, 2025·Centre Bell, Montreal
Buffalo Sabres 2, Montréal Canadiens 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 59% of the time.
34%
51%
MTL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 26:52 | 0.36 | 48.0% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:07 | 0.77 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:17 | 0.24 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 21:11 | 0.65 | 61.5% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:18 | 0.71 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:08 | 0.27 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:58 | 0.25 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:13 | 0.06 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:47 | 0.03 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:00 | 0.26 | 60.6% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:53 | 0.35 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.02 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.07 | 54.6% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:35 | 0.02 | 10.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:59 | 0.38 | 74.0% | +10.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:02 | 0.00 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:35 | 0.19 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:27 | 0.00 | 66.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.09 | +0.1 | 57:52 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 26:30 | 0.23 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 21:37 | 0.22 | 49.3% | +36.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:46 | 0.08 | 66.1% | +32.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:59 | 0.13 | 32.5% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:09 | 0.16 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:36 | 0.16 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 18:16 | 1.05 | 44.7% | +3.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:48 | 0.12 | 61.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:17 | 0.50 | 54.0% | +32.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 15:55 | 0.42 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:46 | 0.30 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.00 | 42.9% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:08 | 0.01 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.26 | 47.4% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:27 | 0.11 | 58.0% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:03 | 0.19 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:27 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:01 | 0.05 | 23.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 4.64 | +2.6 | 59:57 |