Mon, Oct 20, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Carolina Hurricanes 1, Vegas Golden Knights 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vegas Golden Knights win this game 67% of the time.
57%
9%
9%
24%
VGK winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Ehlers–Aho–Jarvis | Hall–Stankoven–Blake | Staal–Martinook–Carrier | Robinson–Kotkaniemi–Svechnikov | Chatfield–Nikishin | Walker–Miller | Reilly–Legault | Nikishin–Legault | Walker–Nikishin | Reilly–Walker | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saad–Barbashev–Eichel | 6:350.45–0.16 | 1:480.09–0.00 | 0:330.04–0.00 | 2:500.16–0.03 | 6:010.52–0.13 | 1:020.00–0.00 | ||||
| Hertl–Marner–Dorofeyev | 0:480.00–0.19 | 4:320.14–0.13 | 2:380.09–0.05 | 1:220.20–0.02 | 5:160.34–0.13 | 2:070.01–0.24 | 1:540.00–0.08 | |||
| Smith–Karlsson–Holtz | 2:500.13–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.12 | 0:580.09–0.00 | 2:000.05–0.00 | 1:080.22–0.00 | 2:520.01–0.00 | 2:260.00–0.12 | 0:560.00–0.00 | ||
| Sissons–Kolesar–Reinhardt | 1:310.00–0.10 | 2:340.00–0.11 | 1:050.09–0.01 | 2:470.09–0.08 | 0:470.00–0.03 | 1:110.00–0.10 | 0:390.00–0.07 | |||
| Saad–Sissons–Kolesar | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:460.07–0.00 | 0:380.07–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Saad–Karlsson–Barbashev | 0:350.00–0.04 | 0:380.00–0.04 | ||||||||
| McNabb–Theodore | 8:590.32–0.20 | 1:220.00–0.10 | 1:380.07–0.10 | 1:220.11–0.00 | 4:120.24–0.13 | 7:530.26–0.17 | 1:270.04–0.10 | 0:400.00–0.00 | ||
| Lauzon–Korczak | 0:410.00–0.06 | 3:540.18–0.14 | 4:310.02–0.06 | 1:550.06–0.01 | 3:290.18–0.05 | 1:310.04–0.03 | 4:530.01–0.12 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:590.05–0.07 | |
| Hutton–Whitecloud | 1:420.32–0.19 | 4:270.04–0.30 | 1:120.17–0.00 | 2:490.30–0.02 | 5:240.51–0.15 | 3:280.28–0.34 | 1:240.00–0.08 | 0:580.00–0.00 | ||
| Hutton–Korczak | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
VGKCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 K'Andre MillerCAR | 28 | 24:02 | 0:52 | 1:30 | 3 | 5 |
 Shea TheodoreVGK | 25 | 23:58 | 0:58 | 1:49 | 2 | 5 |
 Sean WalkerCAR | 29 | 23:48 | 0:49 | 1:34 | 5 | 5 |
 Brayden McNabbVGK | 24 | 21:45 | 0:54 | 1:28 | 1 | 5 |
 Jack EichelVGK | 24 | 21:30 | 0:54 | 2:07 | 4 | 5 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 22 | 21:25 | 0:58 | 1:48 | 4 | 1 |
 Alexander NikishinCAR | 26 | 21:08 | 0:49 | 2:15 | 3 | 1 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 22 | 21:01 | 0:57 | 1:48 | 3 | 1 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 29 | 20:53 | 0:43 | 1:53 | 3 | 2 |
 Mitch MarnerVGK | 21 | 20:37 | 0:59 | 2:12 | 4 | 6 |
 Nikolaj EhlersCAR | 18 | 18:22 | 1:01 | 1:52 | 3 | 1 |
 Tomas HertlVGK | 20 | 18:10 | 0:55 | 2:00 | 5 | 4 |
 Jeremy LauzonVGK | 24 | 17:52 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 3 | 4 |
 Kaedan KorczakVGK | 23 | 17:17 | 0:45 | 1:33 | 3 | 4 |
 Pavel DorofeyevVGK | 19 | 17:06 | 0:54 | 1:57 | 4 | 3 |
 Zach WhitecloudVGK | 22 | 16:43 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 0 | 5 |
 Brandon SaadVGK | 24 | 16:32 | 0:41 | 1:36 | 2 | 4 |
 Logan StankovenCAR | 18 | 16:32 | 0:55 | 1:36 | 4 | 1 |
 Ben HuttonVGK | 21 | 16:04 | 0:46 | 1:31 | 1 | 3 |
 Jackson BlakeCAR | 17 | 16:02 | 0:57 | 1:41 | 1 | 0 |
 William KarlssonVGK | 23 | 15:37 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 3 | 4 |
 Mike ReillyCAR | 23 | 14:45 | 0:38 | 1:37 | 4 | 2 |
 Ivan BarbashevVGK | 18 | 14:31 | 0:48 | 1:26 | 1 | 4 |
 Taylor HallCAR | 16 | 14:11 | 0:53 | 1:21 | 2 | 0 |
 Reilly SmithVGK | 21 | 13:40 | 0:39 | 1:06 | 3 | 1 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 17 | 13:38 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 5 | 2 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 21 | 13:36 | 0:39 | 1:02 | 2 | 7 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 21 | 13:13 | 0:38 | 0:59 | 2 | 7 |
 Charles Alexis LegaultCAR | 20 | 12:30 | 0:38 | 1:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Keegan KolesarVGK | 18 | 12:12 | 0:41 | 1:27 | 0 | 2 |
 Colton SissonsVGK | 18 | 11:48 | 0:39 | 1:04 | 0 | 2 |
 William CarrierCAR | 16 | 9:54 | 0:37 | 1:04 | 2 | 2 |
 Alexander HoltzVGK | 15 | 9:51 | 0:39 | 1:00 | 3 | 0 |
 Eric RobinsonCAR | 14 | 9:14 | 0:40 | 1:08 | 2 | 1 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR | 13 | 8:54 | 0:41 | 1:04 | 2 | 1 |
 Cole ReinhardtVGK | 9 | 7:26 | 0:50 | 1:10 | 0 | 1 |