Wed, Oct 22, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 54% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:33Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Gibson
- P1 0:35Edvinsson: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Malenstyn, Dahlin, Byram, Kulich, Benson · DET Chiarot, Larkin, Raymond, Edvinsson, Finnie
- P1 0:42Shot by Zucker, saved by Gibson5v4
- P1 0:44Shot by Doan, saved by Gibson5v4
- P1 1:37Shot by Thompson, saved by Gibson5v4
- P1 3:04van Riemsdyk: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Thompson, Samuelsson, Kulich, Benson, Metsa · DET van Riemsdyk, Chiarot, Copp, Rasmussen, Bernard-Docker
- P1 3:45Shot by Thompson, saved by Gibson5v4
- P1 5:46Shot by Ostlund, saved by Gibson
- P1 6:57Shot by Tuch, saved by Gibson
- P1 8:33Shot by Dahlin, saved by Gibson
- P1 10:15Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Ellis
- P1 11:19Shot by Copp, saved by Ellis
- P1 13:01Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Ellis
- P1 13:51Shot by Byram, saved by Gibson
- P1 16:11Shot by Tuch, saved by Gibson
- P1 17:36Shot by Timmins, saved by Gibson
- P1 18:07Shot by Copp, saved by Ellis
- P1 19:12Shot by Kasper, saved by Ellis
- P1 19:41Benson: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Kulich, Benson · DET DeBrincat, Raymond, Kasper, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie
- P1 0:00Period end4v5
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 1:14Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Gibson4v5
- P2 2:20Shot by Seider, saved by Ellis
- P2 2:41Shot by Kulich, saved by Gibson
- P2 2:56Shot by Berggren, saved by Ellis
- P2 3:00Goal by Compher (Johansson, Berggren)+17 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, Thompson, Dahlin, Kulich, Metsa · DET van Riemsdyk, Compher, Bernard-Docker, Berggren, Johansson
- P2 3:33Larkin: High sticking (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Timmins, McLeod, Samuelsson, Doan · DET Larkin, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Raymond, Finnie
- P2 5:00Shot by Thompson, saved by Gibson5v4
- P2 5:06Shot by Thompson, saved by Gibson5v4
- P2 5:44Shot by Larkin, saved by Ellis
- P2 6:46Shot by Tuch, saved by Gibson
- P2 7:26Shot by Appleton, saved by Ellis
- P2 7:44Shot by Bernard-Docker, saved by Ellis
- P2 10:18Shot by Power, saved by Gibson
- P2 10:56Shot by Johansson, saved by Ellis
- P2 11:37Goal by Zucker (Quinn, Timmins)+18 pts WP
On ice: BUF Zucker, Timmins, Dahlin, Quinn, Ostlund · DET Appleton, Rasmussen, Seider, Johansson, Kasper
- P2 12:30Shot by Byram, saved by Gibson
- P2 12:53Shot by Metsa, saved by Gibson
- P2 13:06Shot by Seider, saved by Ellis
- P2 13:20Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Gibson
- P2 14:02Shot by Brandsegg-Nygård, saved by Ellis
- P2 14:52Shot by Thompson, saved by Gibson
- P2 16:28Goal by Kozak (Quinn, Samuelsson)+28 pts WP
On ice: BUF Samuelsson, Quinn, Kozak, Ostlund, Metsa · DET DeBrincat, Edvinsson, Kasper, Sandin-Pellikka, Brandsegg-Nygård
- P2 16:39Shot by Quinn, saved by Gibson
- P2 16:52Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Ellis
- P2 18:20Goal by Finnie (Larkin, Raymond)+29 pts WP
On ice: BUF Tuch, McLeod, Dahlin, Doan, Power · DET Larkin, Seider, Johansson, Raymond, Finnie
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 2:16Shot by Seider, saved by Ellis
- P3 2:22Rasmussen: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Timmins, Quinn, Power, Kozak, Ostlund · DET Chiarot, Copp, Appleton, Rasmussen, Seider
- P3 4:15Goal by Quinn (McLeod, Byram)5v4+33 pts WP
On ice: BUF Tuch, McLeod, Byram, Quinn, Power · DET Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Kasper, Finnie
- P3 4:47Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ellis
- P3 5:42Shot by Dahlin, saved by Gibson
- P3 7:10Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ellis
- P3 8:10Goal by Tuch (Doan, McLeod)+12 pts WP
On ice: BUF Tuch, Timmins, McLeod, Byram, Doan · DET Larkin, Raymond, Edvinsson, Sandin-Pellikka, Finnie
- P3 8:37Shot by Chiarot, saved by Ellis
- P3 8:39Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Gibson
- P3 9:17Seider: Interference (2 min)
On ice: BUF Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Kulich, Benson · DET Chiarot, Copp, Appleton, Rasmussen, Seider
- P3 9:47Shot by Kulich, saved by Gibson5v4
- P3 11:11Shot by Quinn, saved by Gibson5v4
- P3 11:51Shot by Berggren, saved by Ellis
- P3 12:49Kulich: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Thompson, Timmins, Byram, Kulich, Benson · DET Larkin, Bernard-Docker, Johansson, Raymond, Finnie
- P3 13:27Shot by Seider, saved by Ellis4v5
- P3 14:30Shot by Byram, saved by Gibson4v5
- P3 14:52Shot by Brandsegg-Nygård, saved by Ellis
- P3 14:54Shot by Compher, saved by Ellis
- P3 14:56Shot by Compher, saved by Ellis
- P3 17:02Shot by Seider, saved by Ellis5v6
- P3 17:35Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ellis5v6
- P3 18:52Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Ellis5v6
- P3 18:53Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Ellis5v6
- P3 18:59Shot by Brandsegg-Nygård, saved by Ellis5v6
- P3 19:57Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Ellis5v6
- P3 0:00Period end5v6
- P3 0:00Final5v6