Wed, Oct 22, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 54% of the time.
47%
38%
BUF winsDET wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Larkin–Raymond–Finnie | DeBrincat–Kasper–Brandsegg-Nygård | van Riemsdyk–Compher–Berggren | Copp–Appleton–Rasmussen | van Riemsdyk–Copp–Rasmussen | Compher–Appleton–Berggren | Compher–Berggren–Brandsegg-Nygård | Larkin–DeBrincat–Raymond | DeBrincat–Raymond–Kasper | Chiarot–Seider | Edvinsson–Sandin-Pellikka | Bernard-Docker–Johansson | Johansson–Edvinsson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompson–Kulich–Benson | 1:440.08–0.07 | 2:330.02–0.37 | 1:380.16–0.00 | 1:050.02–0.07 | 0:580.01–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.20 | 3:470.02–0.10 | 3:560.27–0.07 | 0:490.00–0.00 | |||
| Tuch–McLeod–Doan | 2:180.28–0.06 | 1:440.02–0.00 | 4:430.33–0.25 | 3:410.17–0.02 | 2:260.44–0.00 | 2:400.15–0.22 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Malenstyn–Krebs–Kozak | 2:270.00–0.05 | 1:150.02–0.12 | 0:590.03–0.05 | 2:000.08–0.09 | 0:390.00–0.16 | 4:000.03–0.34 | 1:570.07–0.00 | 1:570.02–0.16 | |||||
| Zucker–Quinn–Ostlund | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:560.06–0.05 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.09 | 0:570.06–0.01 | 1:070.00–0.08 | 1:070.00–0.14 | ||||||
| Quinn–Kozak–Ostlund | 2:170.00–0.11 | 1:390.00–0.11 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Tuch–Doan–Ostlund | 0:370.10–0.03 | ||||||||||||
| Timmins–Power | 3:110.00–0.06 | 1:590.12–0.04 | 1:220.09–0.22 | 2:020.00–0.09 | 0:420.01–0.07 | 0:580.01–0.00 | 3:370.00–0.21 | 3:240.10–0.06 | 3:490.13–0.30 | ||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 1:330.18–0.00 | 3:230.09–0.03 | 1:180.07–0.00 | 0:500.20–0.00 | 0:380.02–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.20 | 2:370.20–0.03 | 3:370.33–0.00 | 1:310.02–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.00 | |||
| Samuelsson–Metsa | 0:350.13–0.07 | 2:210.17–0.07 | 1:340.07–0.09 | 1:080.00–0.09 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 4:290.04–0.19 | 1:290.41–0.10 | 1:140.13–0.09 | |||||
| Timmins–Samuelsson | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.03 | 0:590.33–0.16 | 1:370.00–0.19 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:000.33–0.04 | |||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 1:080.00–0.47 | 1:050.03–0.00 | 1:420.03–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Timmins–Byram | 0:470.15–0.00 | 0:380.15–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Byram–Power | 0:350.00–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.08 | |||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Power | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Moritz SeiderDET | 32 | 26:15 | 0:49 | 1:47 | 5 | 7 |
 Ben ChiarotDET | 27 | 22:50 | 0:51 | 2:22 | 1 | 8 |
 Conor TimminsBUF | 28 | 22:39 | 0:49 | 1:55 | 6 | 3 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 25 | 21:50 | 0:52 | 1:56 | 8 | 5 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 20 | 21:03 | 1:03 | 1:55 | 4 | 4 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 25 | 20:41 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 3 | 5 |
 Dylan LarkinDET | 28 | 19:48 | 0:42 | 2:05 | 4 | 8 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 26 | 19:42 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 3 | 3 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 20 | 19:36 | 0:59 | 1:52 | 4 | 4 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 24 | 19:34 | 0:49 | 1:53 | 7 | 0 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 25 | 19:19 | 0:46 | 2:10 | 4 | 2 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 19 | 18:58 | 1:00 | 1:52 | 5 | 0 |
 Lucas RaymondDET | 23 | 18:09 | 0:47 | 2:08 | 4 | 4 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 25 | 17:57 | 0:43 | 1:52 | 3 | 2 |
 Simon EdvinssonDET | 23 | 17:43 | 0:46 | 1:54 | 2 | 3 |
 Axel Sandin-PellikkaDET | 23 | 17:35 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 3 | 3 |
 Alex DeBrincatDET | 18 | 16:42 | 0:56 | 1:48 | 4 | 0 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 22 | 15:46 | 0:43 | 1:36 | 3 | 5 |
 Jiri KulichBUF | 19 | 15:41 | 0:50 | 2:03 | 4 | 2 |
 Andrew CoppDET | 21 | 15:41 | 0:45 | 1:46 | 3 | 5 |
 Albert JohanssonDET | 21 | 15:15 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 3 | 4 |
 Jonatan BerggrenDET | 17 | 14:59 | 0:53 | 1:39 | 3 | 5 |
 J.T. CompherDET | 23 | 14:53 | 0:39 | 1:28 | 2 | 8 |
 Marco KasperDET | 17 | 14:21 | 0:51 | 1:40 | 3 | 0 |
 Michael RasmussenDET | 21 | 14:04 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 3 | 4 |
 James van RiemsdykDET | 20 | 13:52 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 3 | 2 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerDET | 19 | 13:41 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 3 | 2 |
 Mason AppletonDET | 17 | 13:23 | 0:47 | 1:07 | 1 | 6 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 18 | 13:08 | 0:44 | 1:46 | 2 | 3 |
 Emmitt FinnieDET | 21 | 13:05 | 0:37 | 1:08 | 2 | 3 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 17 | 11:40 | 0:41 | 1:02 | 7 | 0 |
 Michael Brandsegg-NygårdDET | 15 | 11:02 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 3 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 17 | 10:40 | 0:38 | 1:19 | 2 | 2 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 13 | 9:58 | 0:46 | 1:04 | 4 | 0 |
 Zach MetsaBUF | 15 | 9:26 | 0:38 | 1:19 | 2 | 0 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 11 | 8:28 | 0:46 | 1:29 | 7 | 0 |