Wed, Oct 22, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 54% of the time.
47%
38%
BUF winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26:15 | 0.36 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:50 | 0.08 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.08 | 38.9% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:09 | 0.11 | 45.4% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.00 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:35 | 0.03 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:42 | 0.60 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.16 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.06 | 54.1% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:59 | 0.22 | 58.3% | +17.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:53 | 0.32 | 61.2% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.22 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:04 | 0.38 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.40 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:41 | 0.10 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:23 | 0.06 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:05 | 0.13 | 45.9% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:02 | 0.27 | 57.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 3.57 | −0.4 | 56:49 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:39 | 0.06 | 47.4% | +18.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:50 | 0.17 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:03 | 0.01 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:41 | 0.00 | 43.3% | +28.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:42 | 0.35 | 71.8% | +32.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:36 | 0.73 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:34 | 0.04 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19:19 | 0.57 | 60.7% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.59 | 72.2% | +12.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:57 | 0.00 | 62.8% | +45.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.20 | 32.8% | +28.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:41 | 0.19 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:08 | 0.19 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 11:40 | 0.14 | 46.4% | +79.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:40 | 0.00 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 9:58 | 0.33 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:26 | 0.08 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:28 | 0.23 | 32.9% | +18.5 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.58 | +1.6 | 59:54 |