Thu, Oct 23, 2025·Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise
Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Florida Panthers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 77% of the time.
71%
17%
FLA winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 22:27 | 0.03 | 47.6% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:47 | 0.04 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:43 | 0.86 | 35.9% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:56 | 0.00 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.03 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:07 | 0.27 | 35.9% | +30.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19:06 | 0.21 | 30.2% | +44.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:53 | 0.03 | 7.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:39 | 0.01 | 9.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:29 | 0.05 | 21.1% | +28.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.07 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.09 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:36 | 0.77 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:54 | 0.28 | 38.6% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:52 | 0.04 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:51 | 0.15 | 33.1% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:58 | 0.12 | 20.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:17 | 0.00 | 30.9% | +16.5 |
| W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 4.92 | +1.9 | 60:00 |
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 23:59 | 1.40 | 75.5% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:27 | 0.01 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 22:14 | 0.15 | 69.2% | +30.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 22:11 | 0.82 | 87.9% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:02 | 0.05 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:01 | 0.34 | 80.7% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:01 | 0.51 | 75.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.17 | 51.0% | +30.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:06 | 0.50 | 80.7% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.02 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:17 | 0.14 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.32 | 79.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:27 | 0.00 | 79.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:19 | 0.02 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:13 | 0.25 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:33 | 0.05 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:29 | 0.04 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 5:41 | 0.14 | 57.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 17 | 12 | 5 | .706 | 1.48 | −3.5 | 56:18 |